France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-144
+397
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+795
-330
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+205
+143
+220
+130
2.50
o2¾-101
u2¾-109
o2½-118
u2½+120
1st H
20:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg		13.5%
67.8%		18.7%
+490
-182
+475
-190
1
3		-0.46085-0.46604-0.38909
Nice
Paris Saint-Germain		8.0%
77.3%		14.7%
+455
-185
+375
-160
3
1		-1.74870-1.60754-2.53162
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		72.2%
10.6%		17.2%
-258
+640
-275
+625
1
1		-1.75365-1.76393-1.76224
Lyon
Saint-Etienne		59.8%
18.9%		21.3%
-162
+415
-165
+385
1
2		-1.67174-1.62872-1.66606
Toulouse
Reims		37.9%
33.7%		28.4%
+112
+262
+110
+255
0
1		-1.31569-1.31763-1.08797
Angers
Nice		8.9%
75.2%		15.9%
+785
-262
+775
-280
1
2		-0.35748-0.35525-0.28458
Lens
Brest		34.2%
38.0%		27.7%
+196
+152
+190
+150
3
1		-1.11783-1.11145-1.07245
Auxerre
Lille		10.2%
72.7%		17.0%
+850
-279
+700
-260
1
3		-0.33257-0.37545-0.31826
Montpellier
Marseille		7.8%
78.4%		13.8%
+1650
-650
+1500
-675
1
5		-0.17742-0.18801-0.24336
Strasbourg
Monaco		14.4%
66.5%		19.0%
+515
-192
+500
-200
0
0		-1.62939-1.60107-1.65921
Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain		2.8%
88.9%		8.3%
+1375
-640
+1350
-675
1
2		-0.17929-0.18678-0.11791
Nantes
Rennes		18.9%
58.3%		22.8%
+355
-115
+385
-135
1
2		-0.64682-0.60398-0.53988
Lyon
Auxerre		48.9%
26.3%		24.9%
-114
+325
-120
+310
3
1		-0.65072-0.65406-0.71640
Montpellier
Angers		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+312
-101
+310
-105
0
2		-0.71863-0.71001-0.77403
Rennes
Le Havre		50.0%
23.6%		26.4%
+110
+287
+105
+275
5
1		-0.76608-0.76529-0.69373
Brest
Saint-Etienne		35.0%
37.8%		27.2%
+105
+257
+100
+250
3
3		-1.36559-1.37279-1.30295
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31059 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.28674 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.29894
0.01165
-0.01220

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.