France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-144
+397
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+795
-330
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Games for Dec 7, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+205
+143
+220
+130
2.50
o2¾-101
u2¾-109
o2½-118
u2½+120
2nd H
70:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Strasbourg		36.9%
34.6%		28.5%
+152
+187
+155
+175
2
2		-1.28327-1.27247-1.25407
Lille
Toulouse		44.1%
29.1%		26.8%
+142
+224
+160
+185
2
1		-0.90745-1.00239-0.81774
Marseille
Monaco		22.0%
54.9%		23.0%
+280
-106
+250
-105
0
3		-0.68583-0.71885-0.59882
Reims
Lens		13.8%
66.0%		20.2%
+500
-170
+565
-180
2
0		-1.82554-1.94302-1.98413
Toulouse
Marseille		13.3%
67.9%		18.8%
+387
-135
+370
-140
2
3		-0.58368-0.58709-0.38696
Auxerre
Rennes		15.3%
64.3%		20.3%
+328
-112
+340
-125
1
0		-1.47876-1.52993-1.87699
Le Havre
Montpellier		23.1%
51.4%		25.6%
+193
+152
+180
+150
2
0		-1.10259-1.07960-1.46668
Strasbourg
Reims		32.3%
39.3%		28.4%
+114
+262
+110
+245
1
0		-0.78572-0.79239-1.12927
Saint-Etienne
Lens		10.8%
72.4%		16.7%
+460
-164
+425
-165
0
1		-0.50177-0.52106-0.32229
Lille
Lyon		29.0%
44.9%		26.1%
+221
+131
+215
+125
1
2		-0.86303-0.85746-0.80116
Monaco
Brest		53.1%
23.4%		23.4%
-124
+350
-125
+335
1
2		-1.52956-1.51763-1.45235
Angers
Paris Saint-Germain		2.8%
89.8%		7.4%
+1900
-775
+1800
-825
0
1		-0.15645-0.16299-0.10789
Nantes
Nice		15.5%
62.9%		21.6%
+610
-200
+585
-215
2
1		-1.98464-1.97371-1.86704
Lens
Lille		21.0%
54.8%		24.2%
+300
+105
+310
-105
0
1		-0.74927-0.71803-0.60161
Nantes
Le Havre		39.3%
31.1%		29.7%
+147
+210
+140
+205
2
3		-1.16501-1.16603-1.16915
Montpellier
Auxerre		21.4%
55.5%		23.1%
+333
-118
+335
-120
0
1		-0.64205-0.65074-0.58812
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31059 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.28674 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.29894
0.01165
-0.01220

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.