France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-144
+397
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+795
-330
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montpellier
Auxerre		21.4%
55.5%		23.1%
+333
-118
+335
-120
0
1		-0.64205-0.65074-0.58812
Rennes
Angers		49.6%
25.2%		25.2%
+110
+287
+110
+275
3
0		-0.77024-0.79125-0.70061
Brest
Toulouse		24.9%
50.2%		24.9%
+303
+103
+305
-105
4
2		-1.42391-1.45060-1.38966
Nice
Monaco		18.5%
59.7%		21.9%
+335
-114
+270
-105
1
2		-0.64861-0.71701-0.51664
Paris Saint-Germain
Saint-Etienne		80.4%
6.9%		12.7%
-410
+990
-435
+950
6
1		-0.25222-0.25684-0.21854
Marseille
Reims		49.9%
24.2%		25.9%
-150
+467
-170
+450
1
3		-1.75522-1.75308-1.41704
Lyon
Strasbourg		39.6%
33.6%		26.8%
+167
+176
+155
+160
2
4		-1.02974-1.00501-1.09047
Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain		10.7%
72.5%		16.8%
+810
-307
+800
-280
1
3		-0.31734-0.32701-0.32174
Toulouse
Strasbourg		24.9%
50.1%		25.0%
+183
+165
+195
+160
1
2		-1.00775-0.98631-0.69203
Reims
Brest		22.9%
51.8%		25.2%
+475
-150
+450
-150
0
0		-1.38119-1.36908-1.37698
Le Havre
Lyon		7.8%
77.3%		14.9%
+940
-357
+925
-350
2
4		-0.27765-0.28604-0.25730
Rennes
Lens		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+285
+108
+265
+105
0
1		-0.75511-0.76819-0.64666
Monaco
Angers		67.0%
14.2%		18.8%
-260
+698
-275
+700
2
0		-0.35762-0.35956-0.40015
Lille
Nantes		44.7%
28.0%		27.3%
-105
+325
+100
+290
0
1		-1.47959-1.41026-1.27422
Auxerre
Nice		12.4%
68.5%		19.1%
+495
-169
+495
-185
1
1		-1.47622-1.50715-1.65742
Lyon
Nice		27.9%
46.2%		25.9%
+245
+115
+265
+100
2
0		-1.27211-1.34519-1.27794
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.