France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-144
+397
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+163
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+795
-330
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Reims		25.4%
48.3%		26.4%
+196
+160
+190
+155
2
0		-1.11036-1.11301-1.37133
Strasbourg
Nantes		28.3%
44.8%		26.8%
+142
+206
+140
+195
1
0		-0.91322-0.92402-1.26146
Saint-Etienne
Le Havre		30.4%
41.4%		28.2%
+212
+145
+200
+140
1
1		-1.25463-1.25632-1.26553
Angers
Brest		19.0%
58.5%		22.5%
+467
-145
+465
-140
0
2		-0.55208-0.56563-0.53684
Lens
Marseille		23.2%
52.2%		24.5%
+565
-192
+520
-200
1
0		-1.91508-1.87353-1.46050
Montpellier
Lille		8.8%
76.1%		15.1%
+700
-240
+700
-260
0
1		-0.37872-0.37545-0.27319
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes		64.3%
15.4%		20.2%
-144
+390
-150
+385
4
1		-0.55974-0.55970-0.44114
Monaco
Toulouse		44.4%
30.0%		25.6%
+123
+228
+120
+220
1
1		-1.31156-1.30420-1.36328
Nantes
Marseille		15.4%
63.7%		20.9%
+810
-280
+725
-290
0
2		-0.33037-0.34670-0.45099
Strasbourg
Auxerre		35.2%
36.9%		27.9%
+143
+215
+140
+205
1
0		-0.91502-0.92637-1.04498
Rennes
Montpellier		47.8%
27.2%		25.0%
+100
+295
+100
+275
4
0		-0.72588-0.74421-0.73856
Toulouse
Angers		40.8%
32.1%		27.2%
+110
+300
+115
+300
4
0		-0.77074-0.79270-0.89767
Brest
Lyon		13.2%
68.6%		18.2%
+380
-136
+380
-145
1
2		-0.57928-0.57346-0.37662
Lille
Paris Saint-Germain		8.7%
75.9%		15.4%
+840
-307
+735
-280
1
4		-0.31745-0.35491-0.27541
Le Havre
Lens		9.0%
74.0%		17.0%
+745
-244
+775
-275
4
3		-2.16422-2.21944-2.40351
Nice
Saint-Etienne		51.6%
23.7%		24.7%
-157
+437
-160
+400
3
1		-0.52312-0.53495-0.66244
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.