France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-144
+400
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+825
-333
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Reims
Monaco		9.4%
74.7%		15.9%
+765
-269
+850
-320
0
3		-0.33900-0.32135-0.29196
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon		57.4%
20.3%		22.3%
-193
+495
-180
+475
3
2		-0.45199-0.46876-0.55459
Montpellier
Nice		9.6%
74.3%		16.1%
+800
-287
+740
-295
0
2		-0.32974-0.34172-0.29682
Brest
Strasbourg		21.1%
55.4%		23.4%
+255
+118
+260
+110
0
0		-1.25773-1.27072-1.45068
Toulouse
Le Havre		44.3%
27.8%		27.9%
+113
+280
+110
+275
4
1		-0.78594-0.79125-0.81466
Lens
Nantes		35.9%
35.5%		28.6%
+120
+253
+110
+260
1
3		-1.29273-1.33207-1.03476
Marseille
Auxerre		48.7%
25.9%		25.4%
-174
+500
-190
+500
0
3		-1.81542-1.84219-1.35043
Angers
Saint-Etienne		25.6%
49.5%		24.9%
+190
+154
+190
+150
3
3		-1.25590-1.24067-1.39050
Monaco
Lille		31.0%
42.4%		26.6%
+198
+142
+210
+125
1
2		-0.91001-0.85849-0.85750
Reims
Rennes		15.9%
62.6%		21.5%
+237
+125
+240
+125
0
1		-0.84397-0.84735-0.46783
Lille
Rennes		32.8%
39.5%		27.7%
+154
+210
+150
+200
2
0		-0.96341-0.96582-1.11593
Strasbourg
Lens		19.5%
57.7%		22.8%
+322
-112
+300
-115
2
0		-1.46785-1.43658-1.63481
Nice
Le Havre		54.8%
19.6%		25.6%
-160
+465
-165
+450
3
1		-0.51554-0.52388-0.60102
Angers
Reims		21.0%
54.4%		24.6%
+345
-108
+320
-110
1
0		-1.52698-1.48554-1.56012
Lyon
Montpellier		56.4%
21.2%		22.3%
-172
+445
-180
+435
4
1		-0.48652-0.49253-0.57210
Paris Saint-Germain
Toulouse		69.3%
12.5%		18.1%
-185
+520
-200
+510
1
0		-0.46329-0.45462-0.36635
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.