France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-137
+421
-147
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+105
u2¾-111
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+800
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-111
u3¼-104
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Monaco		12.3%
69.8%		17.9%
+530
-190
+525
-200
1
7		-0.44918-0.45319-0.35999
Saint-Etienne
Marseille		9.3%
75.3%		15.4%
+1100
-422
+1050
-460
1
5		-0.24475-0.24669-0.28362
Auxerre
Brest		23.3%
52.3%		24.4%
+270
+114
+275
+110
2
2		-1.24653-1.22799-1.41169
Marseille
Angers		59.3%
18.5%		22.3%
-162
+462
-180
+500
2
0		-0.51453-0.49109-0.52293
Toulouse
Auxerre		38.5%
34.1%		27.4%
+157
+195
+145
+195
2
2		-1.23522-1.24289-1.29302
Montpellier
Strasbourg		16.5%
62.9%		20.6%
+410
-145
+355
-145
0
2		-0.55584-0.59034-0.46345
Reims
Lyon		14.3%
65.9%		19.8%
+510
-187
+500
-200
0
4		-0.45624-0.45495-0.41703
Rennes
Saint-Etienne		42.9%
30.8%		26.3%
+130
+218
+130
+235
2
0		-0.86185-0.85996-0.84669
Le Havre
Lille		7.4%
76.8%		15.8%
+1168
-410
+1150
-425
2
1		-2.57387-2.57400-2.59951
Lens
Nice		27.2%
46.0%		26.8%
+202
+141
+195
+140
0
2		-0.91091-0.91997-0.77579
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain		10.6%
73.5%		16.0%
+506
-215
+550
-240
1
4		-0.41154-0.39730-0.30832
Brest
Nantes		25.8%
48.5%		25.7%
+208
+150
+200
+145
2
0		-1.15862-1.14662-1.35534
Lyon
Marseille		24.6%
51.2%		24.2%
+260
+107
+265
+100
2
3		-0.75822-0.74360-0.66955
Strasbourg
Rennes		24.5%
50.8%		24.8%
+340
+101
+280
+105
0
1		-0.71184-0.76613-0.67826
Le Havre
Angers		27.2%
44.9%		27.9%
+383
-118
+360
-120
1
1		-1.29653-1.30015-1.27604
Nantes
Reims		29.3%
42.6%		28.2%
+249
+127
+245
+120
2
1		-1.27956-1.28913-1.22898
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.