France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-137
+393
-145
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+105
u2¾-118
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+800
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-109
u3¼-103
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Toulouse		32.8%
39.2%		28.0%
+145
+213
+150
+190
1
1		-1.23478-1.22984-1.27140
Saint-Etienne
Lille		8.1%
77.3%		14.6%
+625
-195
+650
-230
1
4		-0.43252-0.40988-0.25803
Auxerre
Monaco		7.8%
78.7%		13.5%
+658
-237
+650
-275
2
4		-0.37221-0.35750-0.23902
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		71.7%
11.2%		17.2%
-283
+765
-310
+775
5
2		-0.33544-0.32738-0.33328
Lens
Montpellier		48.1%
26.7%		25.2%
-115
+332
-120
+310
2
0		-0.65481-0.65406-0.73091
Marseille
Nice		30.4%
41.9%		27.7%
+165
+172
+165
+165
0
2		-1.03572-1.02223-0.86872
Lyon
Nantes		38.0%
34.5%		27.4%
-112
+320
-120
+320
1
1		-1.35429-1.37074-1.29310
Angers
Lens		8.9%
75.5%		15.5%
+628
-200
+625
-215
0
1		-0.43137-0.43106-0.28067
Montpellier
Toulouse		16.7%
62.8%		20.5%
+433
-143
+410
-145
2
1		-1.69909-1.67906-1.79066
Brest
Le Havre		39.3%
31.7%		29.0%
+126
+250
+130
+240
1
0		-0.84611-0.88312-0.93349
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		4.2%
85.5%		10.3%
+1150
-510
+1225
-575
1
1		-2.15218-2.15762-2.27487
Lille
Strasbourg		40.9%
31.5%		27.6%
+145
+220
+135
+210
1
2		-1.18656-1.17697-1.15480
Rennes
Monaco		14.9%
65.9%		19.1%
+435
-142
+400
-150
2
3		-0.56277-0.56263-0.41629
Saint-Etienne
Auxerre		25.3%
49.9%		24.8%
+305
+100
+280
+100
1
1		-1.32935-1.31082-1.39376
Strasbourg
Marseille		17.0%
61.6%		21.5%
+460
-168
+440
-175
1
1		-1.53137-1.52033-1.53851
Le Havre
Reims		17.5%
57.9%		24.6%
+442
-142
+435
-150
1
1		-1.38830-1.38390-1.40218
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.