France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-137
+393
-145
+385
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+105
u2¾-118
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+800
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-109
u3¼-103
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Angers		31.7%
41.2%		27.2%
+227
+142
+225
+125
0
2		-0.90560-0.86034-0.88753
Nantes
Saint-Etienne		37.4%
34.9%		27.7%
+148
+211
+155
+195
1
1		-1.22132-1.18375-1.28244
Toulouse
Lyon		18.1%
60.7%		21.2%
+335
-122
+295
-115
0
0		-1.41531-1.38494-1.55268
Brest
Rennes		22.0%
54.3%		23.7%
+320
+104
+330
-105
2
1		-1.46413-1.50973-1.51426
Paris Saint-Germain
Lens		60.3%
17.8%		21.9%
-112
+310
-120
+310
2
1		-0.67217-0.65089-0.50635
Nice
Lille		19.6%
56.2%		24.2%
+315
-101
+250
+125
1
2		-0.71300-0.83492-0.57590
Monaco
Montpellier		59.3%
19.4%		21.3%
-160
+435
-180
+435
1
2		-1.70128-1.72777-1.63928
Saint-Etienne
Paris Saint-Germain		3.8%
87.6%		8.7%
+2100
-850
+2000
-975
1
2		-0.14604-0.14628-0.13275
Angers
Montpellier		20.3%
57.0%		22.6%
+282
+112
+275
+110
3
1		-1.35926-1.37105-1.59288
Strasbourg
Toulouse		26.6%
47.9%		25.5%
+301
-101
+340
-105
2
1		-1.41799-1.51467-1.32426
Lens
Le Havre		48.3%
24.6%		27.1%
-173
+533
-185
+550
2
1		-0.48553-0.48375-0.72871
Marseille
Rennes		35.3%
37.0%		27.7%
+136
+225
+135
+220
2
1		-0.89077-0.90372-1.04066
Nice
Reims		40.3%
30.8%		28.8%
+157
+188
+160
+175
4
2		-0.97389-1.00550-0.90793
Lyon
Brest		39.0%
34.3%		26.7%
+111
+260
+110
+260
1
2		-1.30626-1.32791-1.06930
Lille
Auxerre		58.7%
18.5%		22.8%
-128
+389
-130
+370
0
0		-1.35379-1.34538-1.47986
Monaco
Nantes		43.5%
30.3%		26.2%
+112
+300
-130
+380
2
2		-1.21838-1.33097-1.33956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.