France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-132
+393
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2½-118
u2¾-122
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-112
u3¼-102
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Le Havre
Marseille		9.5%
73.1%		17.4%
+1000
-315
+925
-335
1
5		-0.30383-0.30953-0.31351
Toulouse
Lens		19.3%
58.2%		22.5%
+300
+101
+285
+100
1
0		-1.41506-1.39647-1.64657
Auxerre
Strasbourg		14.6%
65.4%		20.0%
+340
-122
+325
-120
1
3		-0.62511-0.65589-0.42451
Brest
Angers		37.7%
34.5%		27.7%
+136
+240
+120
+250
0
2		-1.24897-1.29960-1.06334
Montpellier
Lyon		13.2%
69.0%		17.8%
+710
-275
+700
-300
0
1		-0.33895-0.33543-0.37163
Nantes
Lille		13.5%
66.5%		20.0%
+638
-192
+575
-200
1
1		-1.48386-1.49584-1.60709
Reims
Saint-Etienne		31.5%
41.0%		27.5%
+116
+259
+110
+250
1
3		-1.30111-1.30324-0.89150
Rennes
Nice		22.1%
53.4%		24.5%
+219
+145
+215
+140
2
3		-0.92226-0.91644-0.62742
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		47.4%
27.6%		24.9%
-125
+331
-130
+325
4
2		-0.62168-0.61982-0.74585
Lyon
Paris Saint-Germain		9.9%
74.5%		15.6%
+700
-260
+690
-300
1
3		-0.34783-0.33694-0.29397
Angers
Rennes		13.6%
67.3%		19.1%
+530
-162
+500
-170
0
2		-0.50745-0.51089-0.39622
Strasbourg
Le Havre		39.1%
31.7%		29.2%
+130
+248
+130
+235
3
0		-0.86230-0.88242-0.93964
Nantes
Brest		26.7%
47.3%		26.0%
+260
+130
+225
+145
1
4		-0.85767-0.94410-0.74862
Nice
Montpellier		40.8%
31.8%		27.4%
+140
+194
+130
+200
2
2		-1.35476-1.30523-1.29631
Monaco
Reims		50.0%
24.8%		25.1%
+126
+240
+100
+265
0
0		-1.27482-1.33139-1.38035
Lens
Auxerre		51.2%
23.9%		24.9%
-126
+387
-130
+365
2
2		-1.38007-1.35763-1.39022
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.