France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-145
+406
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-109
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-115
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lille
Marseille		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+277
+110
+245
+115
1
1		-1.28978-1.27168-1.30978
Saint-Etienne
Toulouse		15.6%
64.5%		19.9%
+815
-234
+800
-275
1
2		-0.36566-0.36159-0.43868
Marseille
Saint-Etienne		48.8%
26.1%		25.1%
-172
+495
-185
+600
2
0		-0.49076-0.44870-0.71674
Rennes
Nantes		32.2%
40.2%		27.6%
+148
+235
+130
+240
0
1		-1.23299-1.27397-0.91193
Reims
Strasbourg		21.4%
54.0%		24.6%
+194
+150
+175
+155
0
0		-1.26791-1.28302-1.40060
Montpellier
Lens		16.1%
63.4%		20.5%
+750
-243
+680
-250
0
2		-0.37044-0.38604-0.45596
Lyon
Angers		51.6%
24.2%		24.2%
-158
+425
-160
+420
3
0		-0.52520-0.53582-0.66144
Le Havre
Nice		15.0%
62.4%		22.6%
+530
-162
+515
-170
1
2		-0.50149-0.51330-0.47185
Toulouse
Monaco		14.3%
66.8%		18.8%
+330
-112
+330
-125
0
2		-0.65848-0.63779-0.40299
Paris Saint-Germain
Auxerre		78.2%
7.7%		14.0%
-340
+875
-300
+700
0
0		-1.86724-1.78230-1.96376
Brest
Lille		13.2%
67.5%		19.3%
+510
-155
+450
-150
1
3		-0.53219-0.56161-0.39272
Monaco
Marseille		28.8%
45.7%		25.4%
+172
+165
+160
+165
1
2		-1.00403-1.02115-0.78248
Auxerre
Toulouse		15.4%
64.2%		20.4%
+455
-143
+435
-150
0
2		-0.55180-0.55968-0.44276
Nice
Lyon		22.4%
53.6%		23.9%
+355
-133
+320
-130
1
4		-0.58358-0.61954-0.62351
Angers
Le Havre		22.8%
51.0%		26.3%
+240
+142
+245
+135
1
0		-1.25323-1.28594-1.48012
Lille
Montpellier		46.8%
27.3%		25.9%
-117
+358
-140
+410
2
2		-1.33575-1.35681-1.34985
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.