France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-145
+420
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-110
o2½-135
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+800
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-114
u3¼-104
o3½+105
u3½-125
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain		5.6%
82.5%		11.9%
+1500
-575
+1350
-550
1
1		-2.14515-2.04462-2.13073
Strasbourg
Brest		26.7%
47.8%		25.6%
+260
+118
+250
+120
1
3		-0.80533-0.82650-0.73892
Saint-Etienne
Rennes		15.7%
64.3%		20.0%
+533
-169
+490
-175
0
5		-0.48885-0.50055-0.44111
Lens
Reims		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+135
+228
+135
+205
2
0		-0.87866-0.90503-0.86346
Strasbourg
Nice		20.8%
55.0%		24.2%
+360
-126
+350
-130
1
2		-0.61194-0.61990-0.59738
Le Havre
Nantes		19.1%
56.0%		24.9%
+375
-107
+380
-115
2
0		-1.57944-1.61828-1.65690
Angers
Auxerre		26.7%
47.5%		25.8%
+385
-126
+375
-130
0
1		-0.61077-0.61906-0.74545
Rennes
Lille		17.6%
60.4%		22.1%
+352
-108
+315
-110
0
1		-0.67733-0.69587-0.50498
Lyon
Reims		43.0%
30.1%		26.9%
+122
+225
+125
+195
1
1		-1.35608-1.37062-1.31371
Marseille
Lens		29.5%
43.8%		26.7%
+228
+134
+220
+130
3
1		-1.20561-1.21224-1.22214
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain		5.8%
82.5%		11.7%
+700
-256
+700
-290
0
3		-0.35895-0.34545-0.19198
Brest
Monaco		13.4%
68.5%		18.1%
+500
-168
+525
-190
2
3		-0.49279-0.47209-0.37873
Saint-Etienne
Lyon		13.0%
69.2%		17.8%
+765
-290
+740
-310
0
1		-0.32180-0.32893-0.36776
Reims
Le Havre		28.0%
42.6%		29.4%
+130
+253
+125
+245
3
0		-0.86303-0.86140-1.27322
Toulouse
Rennes		21.6%
55.0%		23.4%
+223
+134
+230
+125
2
0		-1.19892-1.24320-1.53192
Brest
Montpellier		28.1%
46.5%		25.4%
+156
+193
+150
+215
1
3		-1.10936-1.16767-0.76552
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.