France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-145
+430
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-130
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+160
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+780
-325
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3½+110
u3½-125
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lille
Nice		36.0%
34.7%		29.3%
+229
+139
+210
+140
2
2		-1.21898-1.21362-1.22618
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers		77.9%
7.9%		14.2%
-365
+1000
-350
+900
4
2		-0.27736-0.30171-0.24938
Nantes
Lens		17.7%
60.0%		22.3%
+500
-154
+475
-160
2
3		-0.52933-0.53664-0.51089
Monaco
Strasbourg		43.9%
30.3%		25.8%
-101
+280
+100
+255
3
1		-0.71658-0.74381-0.82244
Auxerre
Marseille		8.8%
75.9%		15.2%
+680
-216
+625
-250
3
1		-2.06578-2.03004-2.42792
Marseille
Nantes		39.9%
32.3%		27.8%
+115
+259
+105
+280
2
1		-0.79443-0.76613-0.91834
Rennes
Auxerre		46.6%
27.5%		25.9%
+111
+250
+115
+230
0
4		-1.28226-1.24258-1.29197
Montpellier
Le Havre		31.7%
39.9%		28.4%
+235
+128
+245
+115
0
1		-0.85078-0.81340-0.91950
Reims
Toulouse		20.5%
55.5%		24.0%
+332
-110
+265
+100
0
1		-0.67917-0.74360-0.58823
Strasbourg
Saint-Etienne		32.9%
40.3%		26.9%
+112
+275
+105
+260
0
2		-1.32678-1.32336-0.90976
Nice
Brest		32.4%
39.7%		27.9%
+178
+200
+165
+195
1
0		-1.02798-1.02304-1.12720
Lens
Paris Saint-Germain		8.7%
76.3%		15.0%
+712
-245
+700
-275
0
1		-0.36333-0.35956-0.27071
Lyon
Lille		20.8%
56.0%		23.2%
+214
+125
+210
+120
1
1		-1.36074-1.34458-1.46128
Angers
Monaco		8.0%
78.3%		13.8%
+1075
-400
+1100
-475
1
0		-2.49241-2.53591-2.52961
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		52.0%
23.6%		24.4%
-120
+320
-125
+310
3
0		-0.64097-0.63605-0.65427
Monaco
Nice		36.1%
36.2%		27.7%
-104
+308
+105
+260
1
2		-1.42745-1.33094-1.01561
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.