France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-143
+430
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-111
o2½-130
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+164
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+825
-345
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-105
u3½-108
o3½+110
u3½-125
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Montpellier		29.6%
44.7%		25.7%
+116
+235
+110
+235
3
0		-0.79786-0.78946-1.21821
Nantes
Strasbourg		26.3%
47.6%		26.1%
+310
-104
+310
-110
1
3		-0.70473-0.69485-0.74265
Auxerre
Lyon		10.1%
74.1%		15.8%
+565
-220
+525
-220
2
2		-1.67836-1.63954-1.84307
Lille
Lens		32.3%
39.7%		28.0%
+285
+114
+250
+115
2
0		-1.36900-1.30092-1.12973
Brest
Reims		30.9%
41.3%		27.9%
+360
-115
+340
-105
2
1		-1.55566-1.51054-1.17561
Saint-Etienne
Angers		31.4%
41.9%		26.6%
+235
+129
+230
+125
2
4		-0.84924-0.86022-0.86879
Le Havre
Rennes		14.8%
63.6%		21.6%
+579
-189
+700
-230
0
1		-0.45793-0.40908-0.45223
Marseille
Montpellier		43.3%
30.5%		26.2%
-136
+395
-135
+335
5
0		-0.56743-0.60431-0.83676
Reims
Auxerre		32.5%
39.1%		28.4%
+127
+229
+125
+220
1
2		-1.22064-1.21295-0.93946
Angers
Toulouse		15.7%
63.7%		20.5%
+680
-192
+650
-205
1
1		-1.49455-1.45917-1.58377
Nice
Nantes		31.6%
39.9%		28.5%
+170
+194
+170
+200
1
1		-1.19670-1.14624-1.25635
Lyon
Le Havre		45.8%
27.3%		26.9%
-134
+400
-105
+285
4
0		-0.57987-0.71756-0.78089
Strasbourg
Paris Saint-Germain		5.5%
83.0%		11.5%
+930
-350
+850
-365
2
4		-0.28559-0.29113-0.18682
Lens
Saint-Etienne		44.6%
29.3%		26.0%
-175
+525
-185
+500
2
0		-0.47535-0.48196-0.80661
Rennes
Brest		33.0%
40.0%		27.1%
+182
+170
+180
+170
1
1		-1.22156-1.18026-1.30730
Lille
Monaco		27.0%
47.7%		25.3%
+258
+112
+295
-110
0
0		-1.33930-1.34442-1.37417
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.