France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-143
+420
-145
+380
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-111
o2½-130
u2½+115
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+184
+164
+185
+150
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-340
+780
-340
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-114
u3½+101
o3½+110
u3½-125
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice		60.3%
17.5%		22.2%
-167
+470
-165
+440
1
1		-1.48793-1.46145-1.50593
Montpellier
Reims		29.3%
43.6%		27.0%
+425
-149
+385
-150
2
4		-0.53471-0.55970-0.82963
Lens
Strasbourg		36.2%
35.6%		28.1%
+168
+173
+165
+175
2
2		-1.25678-1.22622-1.26830
Le Havre
Brest		19.5%
56.2%		24.3%
+365
-118
+360
-120
0
2		-0.64735-0.65356-0.57640
Nantes
Lyon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+431
-144
+370
-135
0
2		-0.54950-0.60347-0.49290
Monaco
Rennes		36.2%
36.8%		26.9%
+154
+186
+145
+180
2
1		-0.96482-0.94585-1.01600
Toulouse
Lille		14.0%
66.1%		19.9%
+387
-120
+330
-120
1
2		-0.61797-0.64986-0.41396
Auxerre
Saint-Etienne		21.3%
55.6%		23.1%
+141
+212
+135
+205
1
3		-1.15878-1.16575-0.58749
Angers
Marseille		9.0%
75.4%		15.5%
+1000
-350
+1000
-400
1
1		-1.86085-1.88902-1.86233
Marseille
Strasbourg		37.4%
34.7%		27.8%
+118
+245
+115
+220
0
1		-1.24008-1.21345-1.12865
Saint-Etienne
Nantes		20.4%
56.5%		23.1%
+406
-130
+370
-130
2
2		-1.37038-1.35545-1.46586
Reims
Angers		32.0%
39.6%		28.4%
+120
+280
+115
+260
3
1		-0.80898-0.81482-1.13922
Lyon
Toulouse		37.7%
35.4%		26.9%
+200
+145
+190
+140
2
1		-1.12233-1.11480-1.02745
Montpellier
Monaco		13.8%
68.1%		18.1%
+902
-280
+1025
-385
1
2		-0.29347-0.25614-0.34862
Lille
Le Havre		52.0%
21.6%		26.3%
-109
+350
-115
+335
3
0		-0.65788-0.67495-0.65298
Nice
Lens		22.5%
52.6%		24.9%
+342
+100
+310
-105
0
0		-1.26468-1.27279-1.39155
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.