France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-143
+420
-150
+420
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-111
o2½-130
u2½+110
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+184
+164
+180
+155
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½+100
u2½-120
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-340
+780
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-114
u3½+101
o3½-115
u3½+100
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		7.3%
79.3%		13.4%
+615
-230
+675
-270
1
3		-0.39527-0.36489-0.23205
Brest
Auxerre		38.4%
34.1%		27.5%
+147
+205
+155
+180
0
3		-1.13747-1.08063-1.07561
Marseille
Lyon		23.3%
53.0%		23.7%
+142
+187
+135
+185
3
2		-0.90827-0.90357-1.45740
Toulouse
Brest		26.2%
48.5%		25.3%
+195
+180
+190
+160
0
2		-1.01550-0.99196-0.72352
Auxerre
Montpellier		15.9%
63.9%		20.2%
+254
+125
+235
+115
2
3		-0.81184-0.81362-0.44827
Nantes
Angers		38.0%
33.8%		28.1%
+142
+224
+145
+205
1
1		-1.21848-1.21053-1.26862
Le Havre
Monaco		10.7%
71.7%		17.6%
+750
-230
+675
-250
1
3		-0.36083-0.38682-0.33313
Paris Saint-Germain
Reims		71.7%
10.6%		17.7%
-255
+695
-250
+650
1
1		-1.68913-1.63969-1.73398
Lens
Rennes		32.4%
40.4%		27.2%
+208
+140
+200
+140
1
1		-1.26908-1.25632-1.30067
Strasbourg
Lille		16.1%
62.4%		21.5%
+495
-173
+475
-170
3
3		-1.49598-1.47587-1.53795
Saint-Etienne
Nice		17.6%
60.6%		21.8%
+615
-197
+540
-190
0
8		-0.43088-0.47392-0.50121
Lyon
Lens		25.9%
49.3%		24.7%
+335
-121
+330
-125
0
0		-1.43209-1.38502-1.39857
Le Havre
Toulouse		19.6%
55.9%		24.5%
+345
-109
+335
-115
0
2		-0.67855-0.67113-0.58111
Reims
Nantes		21.2%
53.7%		25.1%
+217
+145
+200
+145
2
1		-1.18003-1.14219-1.54938
Angers
Strasbourg		14.9%
64.9%		20.2%
+465
-152
+450
-150
1
1		-1.43477-1.36908-1.60058
Montpellier
Rennes		21.0%
56.2%		22.8%
+600
-220
+535
-210
0
3		-0.39711-0.44043-0.57593
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.