France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-145
+430
-150
+420
1.57
0.99		2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+110
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+166
+180
+155
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½+100
u2½-120
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-333
+780
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-115
u3½+103
o3½-115
u3½+100
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Paris Saint-Germain		5.4%
83.4%		11.2%
+950
-350
+900
-350
1
3		-0.28631-0.30028-0.18169
Monaco
Auxerre		56.3%
21.0%		22.6%
-123
+345
-120
+305
3
0		-0.62094-0.65693-0.57385
Nice
Marseille		21.7%
53.7%		24.6%
+345
-111
+330
-120
0
2		-0.66678-0.65329-0.62228
Lille
Saint-Etienne		50.2%
24.8%		25.0%
-140
+445
-135
+400
0
1		-1.72513-1.66036-1.39376
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille		49.9%
24.7%		25.4%
-128
+355
-130
+325
3
1		-0.61109-0.61982-0.69499
Auxerre
Le Havre		22.4%
51.6%		26.0%
+167
+184
+165
+180
1
3		-1.06866-1.07555-0.66101
Rennes
Reims		37.5%
33.6%		28.9%
+130
+230
+125
+220
1
2		-1.21325-1.21295-1.09070
Nice
Angers		39.5%
32.7%		27.8%
-105
+360
-105
+325
4
1		-0.69247-0.71832-0.92953
Lens
Monaco		25.6%
50.0%		24.4%
+300
+104
+285
-125
1
1		-1.37642-1.43025-1.40952
Marseille
Toulouse		35.4%
36.9%		27.7%
+129
+220
+120
+225
3
1		-0.84781-0.83924-1.03755
Nantes
Montpellier		26.1%
48.5%		25.3%
+220
+131
+220
+130
3
1		-1.18607-1.21224-1.34228
Saint-Etienne
Brest		20.8%
56.4%		22.8%
+380
-130
+375
-135
0
4		-0.60006-0.60468-0.57238
Strasbourg
Lyon		18.0%
60.6%		21.4%
+258
+111
+290
+100
3
4		-0.76996-0.73054-0.50033
Reims
Marseille		15.0%
63.5%		21.5%
+810
-281
+800
-300
2
2		-1.74847-1.70854-1.53600
Auxerre
Nantes		16.1%
62.4%		21.4%
+187
+161
+205
+150
0
2		-0.98473-0.94233-0.47109
Rennes
Strasbourg		30.1%
43.2%		26.8%
+134
+234
+125
+235
1
3		-1.23093-1.25390-0.84012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.