France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+182
+166
+180
+160
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2½+101
u2½-111
o2½+100
u2½-120
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-340
+800
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-114
u3½+101
o3½-115
u3½+100
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-142
+430
-140
+415
2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+110
1st H
35:00		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Nice		24.6%
50.4%		25.0%
+295
+114
+275
+110
1
1		-1.20641-1.23881-1.38733
Brest
Lens		15.6%
64.1%		20.3%
+365
-114
+345
-120
0
2		-0.65500-0.65670-0.44535
Le Havre
Saint-Etienne		24.6%
48.9%		26.5%
+306
+105
+320
-110
2
0		-1.42899-1.48554-1.40165
Angers
Lille		8.6%
75.9%		15.5%
+920
-280
+860
-300
0
2		-0.33966-0.33670-0.27627
Monaco
Lyon		28.0%
47.4%		24.6%
+148
+177
+145
+170
2
0		-0.93194-0.94727-1.27332
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain		5.5%
83.4%		11.0%
+1165
-450
+1025
-480
0
6		-0.23523-0.24689-0.18119
Lyon
Rennes		32.1%
41.3%		26.6%
+215
+134
+210
+130
0
3		-0.87630-0.88312-0.88438
Nantes
Toulouse		26.9%
47.3%		25.8%
+290
+112
+290
+105
0
0		-1.24573-1.22926-1.35476
Lens
Angers		53.8%
22.2%		24.0%
-175
+585
-180
+535
1
0		-0.48383-0.49094-0.61990
Strasbourg
Montpellier		28.4%
45.9%		25.6%
+262
+113
+260
+110
1
1		-1.29397-1.27072-1.36141
Nice
Auxerre		40.0%
32.2%		27.8%
+150
+205
+155
+185
1
2		-1.14379-1.09679-1.13302
Saint-Etienne
Monaco		11.2%
72.4%		16.4%
+715
-276
+750
-300
0
1		-0.34389-0.33596-0.32318
Lille
Reims		47.3%
25.5%		27.2%
+158
+191
+155
+180
2
0		-0.97795-0.98709-0.74942
Marseille
Brest		35.2%
37.0%		27.8%
+140
+221
+130
+220
5
1		-0.90622-0.88201-1.04361
Paris Saint-Germain
Le Havre		73.2%
9.5%		17.3%
-228
+670
-245
+650
4
1		-0.39193-0.39076-0.31215
Nice
Lille		15.4%
63.3%		21.4%
+561
-195
+545
-200
2
2		-1.57233-1.52047-1.54253
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.