France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+186
+164
+180
+160
1.14
1.35		2.49
o2¼-125
u2½-123
o2½+100
u2½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+820
-330
+800
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-118
u3½+104
o3½-115
u3½+100
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Lens
Nantes 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-142
+430
-140
+415
2.56
o2¾+102
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+110
2nd H
85:00		2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Lyon		18.6%
59.9%		21.6%
+798
-290
+650
-275
1
2		-0.32183-0.36071-0.51294
Nantes
Monaco		17.0%
61.9%		21.1%
+431
-180
+535
-200
0
4		-0.47253-0.42179-0.48023
Rennes
Reims		35.0%
35.7%		29.3%
+135
+210
+130
+200
1
2		-1.14961-1.14721-1.03139
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz		80.0%
6.6%		13.3%
-130
+355
-140
+395
2
0		-0.60493-0.56784-0.22318
Brest
Toulouse		31.6%
42.0%		26.4%
+133
+200
+125
+245
3
0		-0.87465-0.82679-1.15280
Marseille
Le Havre		59.8%
16.9%		23.3%
-131
+360
-135
+340
2
1		-0.60113-0.60475-0.51483
Clermont Foot
Lorient		21.2%
54.2%		24.5%
+396
-155
+375
-160
0
5		-0.53541-0.53491-0.61184
Montpellier
Lens		22.2%
54.5%		23.3%
+800
-298
+700
-315
2
2		-1.84548-1.83421-1.45835
Marseille
Reims		43.6%
28.5%		27.9%
-113
+313
-105
+290
0
1		-1.44253-1.38894-1.25449
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice		69.5%
12.1%		18.4%
+228
+114
+220
+110
2
1		-1.22254-1.21369-0.36366
Lyon
Clermont Foot		47.3%
26.8%		25.9%
-159
+397
-170
+425
1
0		-0.52650-0.51395-0.74902
Monaco
Montpellier		37.2%
36.3%		26.6%
-135
+323
-135
+300
2
0		-0.58218-0.60475-0.98940
Metz
Strasbourg		16.5%
61.7%		21.8%
+248
+114
+225
+115
1
2		-0.79122-0.81482-0.48319
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain		4.1%
86.5%		9.3%
+650
-260
+610
-275
3
1		-2.04577-2.00999-3.18230
Lille
Nantes		38.2%
33.2%		28.6%
-131
+405
-125
+340
2
1		-0.59178-0.63609-0.96184
Lens
Rennes		24.9%
49.9%		25.2%
+214
+128
+215
+125
1
1		-1.31923-1.28884-1.37999
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.11164 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.07488 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02288
0.08876
0.05201

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.