France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+840
-330
+800
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-120
u3¾-114
o3½-115
u3½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Strasbourg
Toulouse 		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+186
+164
+180
+160
2.49
o2½+109
u2½-122
o2½+100
u2½-120
TIME
HALF		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Rennes		24.9%
49.9%		25.2%
+214
+128
+215
+125
1
1		-1.31923-1.28884-1.37999
Lorient
Marseille		10.6%
72.3%		17.1%
+550
-200
+530
-215
1
3		-0.43604-0.43034-0.32435
Le Havre
Nice		14.1%
64.1%		21.8%
+548
-174
+505
-180
0
1		-0.48115-0.48977-0.44399
Reims
Brest		23.9%
50.3%		25.8%
+460
-162
+435
-160
1
1		-1.47495-1.43729-1.35631
Lyon
Lille		20.7%
56.1%		23.2%
+247
+109
+240
+105
4
3		-1.27222-1.27465-1.57697
Nantes
Brest		26.7%
47.4%		25.9%
+450
-142
+425
-145
0
0		-1.35642-1.35957-1.35100
Rennes
Metz		49.7%
24.6%		25.7%
-101
+295
-105
+285
3
2		-0.71592-0.71756-0.69969
Clermont Foot
Monaco		9.5%
74.6%		15.9%
+719
-310
+710
-325
1
4		-0.31345-0.31653-0.29259
Strasbourg
Le Havre		39.6%
31.2%		29.2%
+205
+161
+195
+155
1
3		-0.97328-0.98355-1.16315
Lorient
Lens		15.7%
63.7%		20.6%
+600
-223
+570
-220
0
2		-0.39940-0.42089-0.45039
Montpellier
Toulouse		32.9%
40.8%		26.3%
+258
+105
+250
+100
2
1		-1.29861-1.30383-1.11069
Lens
Marseille		18.6%
59.0%		22.4%
+226
+125
+215
+125
1
2		-0.83949-0.86140-0.52726
Monaco
Lyon		31.7%
42.7%		25.6%
+186
+140
+175
+130
2
3		-0.89104-0.88020-0.85043
Brest
Rennes		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+261
+120
+235
+125
5
4		-1.31334-1.25836-1.61099
Toulouse
Lorient		28.3%
46.0%		25.8%
+201
+150
+170
+160
2
1		-1.11893-1.04120-1.26397
Reims
Clermont Foot		35.3%
34.3%		30.3%
+110
+249
+110
+235
1
4		-1.27751-1.26008-1.06921
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73308 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71866 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71342
0.01966
0.00524

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.