France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+820
-330
+800
-350
0.63
3.01		3.64
o3½-114
u3½+100
o3½-115
u3½+100
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Reims
Clermont Foot		35.3%
34.3%		30.3%
+110
+249
+110
+235
1
4		-1.27751-1.26008-1.06921
Nice
Strasbourg		27.9%
45.6%		26.5%
+125
+257
+125
+235
3
1		-0.83374-0.86034-1.27654
Lille
Metz		55.9%
19.9%		24.2%
-150
+462
-160
+465
2
1		-0.53839-0.53631-0.58209
Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain		3.0%
88.5%		8.6%
+885
-311
+850
-320
3
3		-1.78082-1.73738-2.45795
Nantes
Montpellier		25.7%
49.2%		25.1%
+280
+107
+275
+100
1
1		-1.31476-1.31420-1.38334
Nice
Marseille		14.1%
65.7%		20.2%
+261
+125
+255
+125
2
2		-1.22237-1.21190-1.60092
Lille
Monaco		27.6%
46.7%		25.7%
+198
+142
+185
+140
0
1		-0.89911-0.92352-0.76093
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient		75.6%
9.0%		15.4%
-240
+631
-250
+605
4
1		-0.38128-0.38202-0.28007
Lyon
Paris Saint-Germain		6.7%
80.7%		12.5%
+415
-168
+425
-175
1
4		-0.50071-0.49989-0.21406
Marseille
Toulouse		48.3%
26.2%		25.5%
+174
+173
+165
+175
2
2		-1.23829-1.22622-1.36814
Monaco
Brest		38.4%
34.8%		26.7%
+173
+164
+170
+155
2
0		-1.02918-1.04035-0.95709
Montpellier
Reims		29.6%
43.3%		27.1%
+221
+124
+230
+110
2
1		-1.19060-1.24223-1.21841
Strasbourg
Lille		14.2%
65.7%		20.1%
+520
-163
+475
-165
0
1		-0.50306-0.52540-0.41990
Rennes
Nantes		32.6%
39.5%		27.8%
+147
+216
+145
+200
3
0		-0.93280-0.94410-1.11969
Lorient
Nice		20.6%
55.8%		23.6%
+519
-173
+510
-185
0
3		-0.48362-0.48203-0.58363
Brest
Lyon		20.6%
57.0%		22.3%
+295
+107
+265
+110
3
4		-0.75747-0.79376-0.56175
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.82204 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81221 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76893
0.05311
0.04328

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.