France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lille
Metz
42.4%
29.8%
27.8%
-135
+346

1.29
1.04
2.33
o2¾-102
u2¾-112

Games for Feb 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Rennes
Lille
21.1%
55.0%
23.9%
+380
-132
+400
-133
2
0
-1.59253-1.63005-1.55704
Strasbourg
Nice
35.0%
37.2%
27.7%
+133
+235
+120
+220
1
1
-1.25576-1.31453-1.28302
Lyon
Monaco
21.6%
57.1%
21.3%
+250
+110
+240
+110
3
1
-1.28305-1.26355-1.53252
Lens
Toulouse
38.1%
35.0%
26.9%
+195
+164
+195
+155
3
0
-1.10697-1.10676-0.96493
Monaco
Marseille
38.6%
34.6%
26.8%
+270
+106
+250
+110
0
1
-0.74693-0.76336-1.06259
Nice
Lens
23.7%
50.7%
25.5%
+460
-169
+475
-188
0
2
-0.49344-0.46965-0.67830
Lille
Auxerre
36.5%
35.1%
28.4%
-106
+340
+100
+315
4
3
-0.69565-0.72764-1.00898
Lorient
Strasbourg
16.3%
62.8%
20.8%
+360
-122
+355
-126
0
0
-1.36465-1.36477-1.56926
Le Havre
Lyon
6.4%
80.2%
13.3%
+465
-156
+442
-155
0
1
-0.52513-0.54233-0.22035
Toulouse
Paris FC
35.6%
35.7%
28.7%
+180
+182
+175
+175
3
0
-1.05550-1.05248-1.03260
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz
78.3%
7.5%
14.2%
-400
+980
-430
+1025
3
2
-0.25798-0.25126-0.24455
Brest
Rennes
27.5%
46.8%
25.7%
+329
-114
+310
-120
1
3
-0.65500-0.65406-0.75912
Nantes
Angers
15.7%
63.2%
21.1%
+285
+117
+270
+115
1
4
-0.80260-0.80406-0.45901
Lyon
Lorient
47.7%
27.3%
25.0%
+109
+280
+110
+280
0
1
-1.36520-1.36379-1.29803
Metz
Auxerre
21.5%
54.2%
24.2%
+295
+106
+295
-102
1
3
-0.74672-0.72619-0.61229
Paris FC
Le Havre
35.6%
33.6%
30.8%
+166
+192
+165
+177
0
0
-1.19359-1.22584-1.17928
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.