France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+107
+245
-105
+260
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-112
u3+101
o3-115
u3-105
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+200
+144
+187
+140
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-103
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+110
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Rennes		19.5%
58.0%		22.6%
+160
+176
+170
+170
1
4		-1.04657-1.01935-0.54543
Marseille
Auxerre		39.9%
32.7%		27.4%
-145
+425
-147
+435
1
0		-0.55939-0.55797-0.91889
Paris FC
Monaco		7.3%
79.2%		13.5%
+390
-142
+380
-150
1
0		-1.61450-1.61134-2.62307
Nice
Paris Saint-Germain		5.5%
82.6%		11.9%
+1600
-606
+1400
-650
0
1		-0.18372-0.19283-0.19099
Monaco
Nantes		58.2%
19.6%		22.2%
-132
+377
-140
+375
5
3		-0.58972-0.58193-0.54197
Rennes
Toulouse		24.1%
51.4%		24.5%
+292
+103
+284
+100
2
2		-1.31219-1.31841-1.40678
Angers
Marseille		9.9%
73.7%		16.4%
+1200
-427
+1150
-430
2
2		-1.94428-1.94191-1.80917
Auxerre
Strasbourg		29.3%
44.2%		26.5%
+445
-142
+420
-146
0
3		-0.54718-0.55690-0.81633
Lyon
Paris FC		46.6%
27.4%		26.0%
+156
+177
+150
+180
3
3		-1.29565-1.29474-1.34523
Lens
Metz		31.5%
40.8%		27.7%
-205
+555
-210
+540
0
2		-1.91210-1.89952-0.89659
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient		81.5%
6.3%		12.2%
-352
+906
-400
+950
1
1		-1.94813-1.93919-2.10496
Brest
Le Havre		58.0%
18.2%		23.7%
+185
+197
+165
+185
0
1		-1.08099-1.08913-1.70172
Lille
Nice		29.0%
43.3%		27.7%
-111
+294
-110
+275
0
2		-1.40430-1.37074-0.83799
Strasbourg
Lyon		13.3%
68.4%		18.3%
+290
-105
+300
-105
1
2		-0.70370-0.69750-0.37991
Lorient
Angers		27.3%
46.9%		25.8%
+186
+182
+180
+180
0
2		-1.07046-1.06088-0.75760
Le Havre
Auxerre		10.1%
71.8%		18.1%
+277
+113
+260
+110
1
0		-1.35639-1.32381-2.29313
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.