France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+298
-101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+310
-102
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½+103
u2½-115
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+229
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-112
u2½+100
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain 		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+820
-330
+800
-350
3.64
o3½-112
u3½+100
o3½-115
u3½+100
TIME
HALF		0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Rennes		16.0%
63.4%		20.6%
+362
-118
+330
-120
2
1		-1.55107-1.50928-1.83158
Reims
Strasbourg		26.2%
47.0%		26.8%
+202
+147
+195
+140
1
3		-0.92568-0.92402-0.75572
Lyon
Nantes		32.1%
40.8%		27.0%
+120
+259
+120
+240
3
1		-0.81871-0.83884-1.13557
Rennes
Monaco		22.5%
54.2%		23.3%
+320
-123
+305
-125
0
1		-0.62237-0.63597-0.61245
Strasbourg
Toulouse		29.0%
45.0%		26.0%
+260
+115
+250
+110
0
0		-1.28096-1.28884-1.34569
Lorient
Montpellier		19.0%
59.1%		21.9%
+325
-119
+315
-125
0
2		-0.63820-0.63936-0.52643
Clermont Foot
Paris Saint-Germain		3.5%
87.3%		9.1%
+865
-290
+900
-370
1
1		-1.74818-1.85125-2.39679
Le Havre
Lens		10.6%
71.1%		18.3%
+645
-199
+600
-205
1
1		-1.50828-1.49598-1.69707
Marseille
Lille		27.9%
45.3%		26.8%
+335
-108
+310
-105
1
3		-0.67824-0.70613-0.79279
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		49.3%
25.3%		25.4%
+107
+280
+100
+265
2
0		-0.73691-0.73643-0.70757
Rennes
Strasbourg		35.8%
36.1%		28.1%
+134
+223
+130
+215
0
2		-1.20141-1.19690-1.01771
Montpellier
Le Havre		44.6%
28.1%		27.4%
+170
+185
+175
+175
2
0		-1.01724-1.05535-0.80831
Toulouse
Clermont Foot		33.4%
38.5%		28.1%
+105
+290
+105
+275
3
0		-0.74343-0.76529-1.09628
Reims
Lyon		18.7%
58.4%		22.9%
+267
+108
+250
+105
1
1		-1.33750-1.33094-1.47517
Monaco
Metz		55.7%
21.0%		23.3%
-154
+450
-160
+415
5
2		-0.51565-0.53479-0.58557
Lens
Lille		20.1%
56.4%		23.5%
+267
+118
+265
+105
1
2		-0.80860-0.76819-0.57252
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.77671 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78680 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.77998
-0.00327
0.00682

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.