France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+298
-101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+305
-102
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½+103
u2½-116
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+229
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-112
u2½+100
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Lille		20.1%
56.4%		23.5%
+267
+118
+265
+105
1
2		-0.80860-0.76819-0.57252
Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier		66.1%
14.6%		19.2%
-222
+590
-220
+550
6
2		-0.39821-0.42528-0.41346
Marseille
Rennes		33.4%
38.7%		27.8%
+168
+171
+160
+170
0
2		-1.01666-1.04120-0.94835
Metz
Reims		16.5%
60.5%		23.0%
+400
-127
+380
-130
1
2		-0.60314-0.60996-0.50274
Lorient
Monaco		12.1%
70.6%		17.4%
+689
-259
+650
-275
2
2		-1.75655-1.73693-1.75117
Le Havre
Clermont Foot		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+175
+185
+170
+180
1
2		-1.06927-1.07852-0.69099
Nice
Lens		20.5%
55.9%		23.5%
+336
+100
+280
+105
3
1		-1.48347-1.38326-1.58246
Strasbourg
Nantes		23.5%
51.6%		25.0%
+305
+111
+275
+110
3
1		-1.41358-1.37105-1.44932
Lyon
Toulouse		38.6%
34.7%		26.8%
+170
+184
+155
+185
3
2		-1.01401-0.98556-0.95231
Nantes
Marseille		14.9%
64.3%		20.7%
+626
-197
+610
-215
0
2		-0.43844-0.43135-0.44132
Rennes
Lille		21.3%
54.5%		24.2%
+350
-104
+315
-105
2
2		-1.27239-1.25931-1.41969
Monaco
Strasbourg		41.4%
32.1%		26.5%
+106
+257
+100
+250
1
0		-0.74767-0.74421-0.88240
Toulouse
Le Havre		36.7%
34.0%		29.3%
+170
+192
+170
+185
0
1		-1.10142-1.10045-1.07869
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		5.3%
82.7%		12.0%
+562
-199
+530
-215
2
2		-1.59327-1.60864-2.12260
Lyon
Lorient		40.8%
32.5%		26.6%
+120
+252
+115
+245
2
0		-0.81572-0.81340-0.89612
Lens
Lyon		25.8%
49.6%		24.6%
+187
+160
+180
+160
3
0		-1.08114-1.07790-1.35584
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.