France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+280
+101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+306
-102
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½-105
u2½-103
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+229
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-120
u2¾-112
o2½-115
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Rennes		14.7%
65.2%		20.1%
+625
-202
+625
-225
2
1		-2.00493-2.03218-1.91535
Metz
Nantes		14.6%
64.4%		21.0%
+395
-114
+390
-120
2
0		-1.62781-1.64046-1.92566
Strasbourg
Montpellier		23.0%
53.3%		23.7%
+290
+104
+275
-105
2
2		-1.33496-1.34623-1.44007
Le Havre
Brest		13.6%
65.8%		20.6%
+580
-165
+550
-170
0
1		-0.50281-0.51498-0.41849
Nice
Toulouse		30.6%
42.4%		27.0%
+135
+240
+130
+235
1
2		-1.25075-1.25846-0.85767
Marseille
Clermont Foot		56.4%
19.6%		24.0%
-154
+468
-160
+450
5
1		-0.51519-0.53464-0.57357
Lille
Reims		41.1%
30.1%		28.8%
+151
+196
+150
+185
1
0		-0.94199-0.96451-0.88994
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		54.2%
22.6%		23.2%
+102
+252
+100
+245
0
0		-1.43376-1.38665-1.46020
Montpellier
Marseille		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+400
-140

1
4		-0.57180-0.43546
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		7.9%
77.9%		14.2%
+780
-291

1
1		-1.81886-1.95200
Lille
Toulouse		45.8%
28.0%		26.2%
+102
+291

1
3		-1.39175-1.27436
Clermont Foot
Nice		16.4%
61.3%		22.4%
+800
-223

0
0		-1.56174-1.49799
Reims
Le Havre		38.8%
30.5%		30.7%
+126
+247

2
1		-0.83984-0.94685
Monaco
Lens		32.2%
41.4%		26.4%


3
2		-1.13398
Brest
Strasbourg		28.8%
45.1%		26.1%
+190
+172
+180
+170
3
0		-1.08376-1.07852-1.24587
Nantes
Lorient		33.6%
38.3%		28.1%
+160
+185
+170
+180
1
0		-1.00239-1.04214-1.09142
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.