France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+280
+101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+306
-102
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½-105
u2½-104
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+229
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-120
u2¾-112
o2½-115
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Metz		49.3%
25.5%		25.2%
+100
+315
-105
+300
2
1		-0.71789-0.71980-0.70749
Marseille
Brest		49.2%
25.5%		25.3%
+217
+145
+210
+140
0
1		-0.91799-0.92591-1.36732
Lens
Reims		36.2%
34.9%		29.0%
+258
+123
+235
+125
1
1		-1.25583-1.22806-1.23887
Clermont Foot
Rennes		11.6%
69.9%		18.5%
+495
-163
+490
-180
1
3		-0.50966-0.49377-0.35763
Toulouse
Monaco		17.3%
62.2%		20.5%
+472
-165
+495
-190
2
1		-1.77355-1.83264-1.75614
Lorient
Strasbourg		17.8%
60.2%		22.0%
+426
-135
+415
-145
3
1		-1.68416-1.69038-1.72569
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		63.2%
15.8%		21.0%
-200
+625
-210
+565
2
0		-0.42720-0.43827-0.45953
Le Havre
Lille		8.7%
74.0%		17.3%
+645
-200
+650
-215
0
3		-0.43785-0.43183-0.30131
Lyon
Montpellier		31.8%
42.5%		25.7%
+172
+183
+165
+175
2
1		-1.01564-1.02210-1.14489
Nantes
Toulouse		31.3%
41.6%		27.1%
+282
+114
+280
+105
2
1		-1.35899-1.38326-1.16277
Reims
Lorient		32.8%
38.4%		28.8%
-111
+330
-115
+330
0
2		-1.48497-1.49919-0.95722
Brest
Clermont Foot		32.6%
39.4%		28.0%
+110
+290
+110
+275
1
1		-1.25016-1.22799-1.27397
Rennes
Le Havre		51.2%
22.6%		26.2%
+110
+298
+105
+280
1
0		-0.76327-0.77044-0.66990
Lille
Paris Saint-Germain		9.1%
74.9%		15.9%
+350
-120
+340
-120
1
3		-0.63318-0.65177-0.28872
Strasbourg
Lens		19.5%
57.9%		22.6%
+460
-144
+430
-150
1
3		-0.55219-0.56136-0.54701
Metz
Marseille		7.8%
77.3%		14.9%
+825
-227
+715
-245
1
1		-1.57920-1.56643-1.90468
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.