France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+280
+101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+299
-101
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½-105
u2½-104
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+229
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-120
u2¾-112
o2½-115
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marseille
Lyon		34.5%
38.2%		27.3%
+160
+187
+165
+170
0
1		-1.08114-1.04276-0.96226
Toulouse
Reims		26.2%
47.3%		26.4%
+370
-116
+350
-125
3
2		-1.56743-1.55452-1.33838
Lorient
Metz		30.5%
41.8%		27.7%
+326
+110
+320
+110
2
1		-1.47338-1.46149-1.18656
Clermont Foot
Lille		10.1%
72.1%		17.8%
+667
-224
+675
-250
0
4		-0.40128-0.38892-0.32737
Le Havre
Monaco		9.3%
74.2%		16.4%
+510
-168
+530
-170
1
1		-1.49951-1.44274-1.80557
Lens
Nantes		31.2%
41.4%		27.4%
+112
+277
+110
+260
1
0		-0.77542-0.79308-1.16366
Montpellier
Rennes		21.0%
56.1%		22.9%
+590
-185
+510
-180
1
2		-0.45841-0.49127-0.57720
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		66.4%
14.1%		19.5%
-180
+550
-200
+525
2
1		-0.45583-0.45558-0.41009
Brest
Paris Saint-Germain		4.4%
85.8%		9.8%
+645
-235
+710
-280
2
2		-1.64776-1.70771-2.32228
Lens
Toulouse		34.3%
38.5%		27.2%
+110
+260
+110
+260
2
0		-0.77096-0.78891-1.06959
Nantes
Reims		30.8%
40.4%		28.8%
+315
+101
+305
+105
0
0		-1.28075-1.26263-1.24549
Le Havre
Lorient		20.2%
54.8%		25.0%
+158
+220
+155
+205
3
3		-1.15382-1.15059-1.38693
Strasbourg
Clermont Foot		39.3%
32.4%		28.2%
+145
+215
+140
+210
1
1		-1.23069-1.23533-1.26468
Lille
Montpellier		35.4%
37.0%		27.6%
+105
+290
-105
+290
0
0		-1.28638-1.30567-1.28656
Monaco
Marseille		20.7%
56.4%		22.8%
+198
+141
+180
+145
2
2		-1.31890-1.30254-1.47692
Rennes
Lyon		27.2%
47.7%		25.1%
+182
+160
+190
+140
3
2		-1.06540-1.11480-1.30295
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.