France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+280
+101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+173
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+106
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+299
-101
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+118
+238
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2¾+103
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Lens		60.4%
17.8%		21.8%
-102
+288
-105
+265
2
0		-0.70481-0.71719-0.50455
Lyon
Le Havre		51.1%
23.4%		25.5%
+147
+227
+145
+210
1
3		-1.20297-1.17847-1.45436
Clermont Foot
Nantes		14.0%
65.1%		20.8%
+328
-106
+340
-115
2
1		-1.46872-1.53234-1.96419
Montpellier
Brest		33.7%
39.7%		26.6%
+388
-120
+335
-120
0
2		-0.63166-0.65427-0.92460
Lorient
Lille		11.5%
70.3%		18.1%
+1125
-342
+1100
-390
0
3		-0.28538-0.27863-0.35174
Nice
Rennes		19.4%
57.5%		23.1%
+216
+145
+230
+135
0
2		-0.92788-0.90429-0.55304
Reims
Monaco		17.2%
60.9%		21.9%
+390
-143
+385
-160
3
1		-1.61944-1.62913-1.75788
Strasbourg
Marseille		14.8%
64.9%		20.3%
+474
-152
+475
-165
1
1		-1.43209-1.41256-1.59682
Monaco
Toulouse		37.5%
35.9%		26.7%
-115
+305
-120
+315
2
1		-0.65108-0.65452-0.98139
Lille
Strasbourg		35.8%
35.6%		28.6%
+108
+283
+105
+275
1
2		-1.37007-1.36920-1.03268
Le Havre
Reims		15.1%
61.5%		23.4%
+400
-133
+385
-140
0
1		-0.59079-0.58709-0.48643
Marseille
Montpellier		40.5%
32.6%		26.8%
-103
+304
-105
+290
1
1		-1.32720-1.31602-1.31595
Nantes
Lyon		23.1%
52.7%		24.2%
+345
-115
+350
-130
0
1		-0.65445-0.61665-0.63997
Rennes
Clermont Foot		47.5%
25.9%		26.5%
+145
+226
+145
+210
3
1		-0.91844-0.94317-0.74383
Lorient
Brest		23.0%
52.8%		24.2%
+460
-140
+440
-145
0
4		-0.56579-0.57426-0.63957
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille		54.4%
21.5%		24.1%
-112
+301
-115
+290
1
1		-1.41358-1.39784-1.42321
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.