France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+295
+101
+290
-107
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-111
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+175
+174
+170
+166
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+107
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+300
+101
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2¼-122
u2½-115
o2½+100
u2½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+122
+240
+121
+225
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½-102
u2½-106
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Clermont Foot
Marseille		8.3%
76.0%		15.6%
+665
-210
+650
-215
1
2		-0.41794-0.41931-0.27432
Rennes
Toulouse		35.7%
36.6%		27.7%
+128
+241
+120
+220
0
0		-1.27022-1.30420-1.28359
Strasbourg
Lorient		36.0%
35.9%		28.0%
+215
+150
+210
+140
2
1		-1.17225-1.18185-1.02026
Brest
Nantes		18.6%
59.0%		22.4%
+181
+180
+175
+175
2
0		-1.05837-1.06025-1.68244
Reims
Lens		19.2%
57.1%		23.7%
+218
+140
+230
+135
0
2		-0.89956-0.88114-0.56119
Lyon
Monaco		24.7%
51.8%		23.5%
+365
-128
+355
-125
1
0		-1.55704-1.53127-1.39829
Marseille
Lorient		53.5%
22.3%		24.3%
-128
+398
-130
+375
4
2		-0.60236-0.61906-0.62601
Toulouse
Lyon		18.8%
59.8%		21.5%
+365
-126
+340
-130
0
3		-0.60059-0.61828-0.51497
Le Havre
Strasbourg		13.4%
65.8%		20.8%
+240
+140
+230
+135
1
2		-0.90333-0.90429-0.41834
Lille
Clermont Foot		51.0%
23.1%		25.9%
-112
+353
-125
+380
0
0		-1.31748-1.31152-1.35019
Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain		6.6%
80.3%		13.1%
+875
-335
+925
-400
1
2		-0.28740-0.27328-0.21920
Monaco
Rennes		27.5%
47.2%		25.2%
+156
+175
+155
+170
2
1		-0.96425-0.98714-1.28924
Lens
Montpellier		30.9%
42.9%		26.2%
+108
+280
+105
+260
0
0		-1.29836-1.30280-1.33907
Strasbourg
Brest		32.6%
40.3%		27.1%
+371
-115
+400
-120
1
1		-1.29335-1.29375-1.30693
Lyon
Marseille		19.2%
58.7%		22.1%
+307
-105
+345
-120
0
3		-0.69331-0.64232-0.53249
Rennes
Marseille		19.8%
57.0%		23.2%
+295
-103
+300
-115
0
2		-0.70395-0.67598-0.56212
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.