France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nice 		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+320
-107
+293
-110
0.94
1.70		2.64
o2½-101
u2½-109
o2½-105
u2½-105
Paris FC
Le Havre 		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+176
+176
+170
+168
1.02
0.99		2.01
o2½+108
u2½-119
o2½+100
u2½-120
Metz
Auxerre 		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+300
+101
+300
-102
0.96
1.68		2.64
o2½+103
u2½-114
o2½+100
u2½-120
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+116
+270
+120
+254
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½+100
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Toulouse		19.9%
57.5%		22.7%
+308
+102
+315
-110
1
1		-1.27830-1.30203-1.48461
Montpellier
Monaco		20.0%
58.4%		21.6%
+422
-161
+385
-165
0
2		-0.51093-0.52596-0.53871
Clermont Foot
Brest		20.3%
55.9%		23.8%
+425
-130
+385
-140
0
3		-0.58787-0.59034-0.58143
Paris Saint-Germain
Le Havre		78.7%
6.9%		14.5%
-264
+729
-355
+935
2
0		-0.35049-0.29768-0.23995
Strasbourg
Reims		28.6%
43.8%		27.6%
+407
-134
+360
-135
1
2		-0.58216-0.60462-0.82551
Lille
Lyon		30.1%
43.3%		26.5%
+144
+198
+140
+200
2
0		-0.91872-0.92284-1.19948
Reims
Rennes		18.1%
58.6%		23.3%
+251
+113
+250
+110
1
3		-0.78047-0.79239-0.53462
Le Havre
Nantes		12.0%
67.7%		20.3%
+330
+101
+275
+105
0
0		-1.24556-1.26058-1.59682
Brest
Montpellier		20.0%
57.9%		22.1%
+221
+133
+225
+125
3
1		-1.19637-1.22806-1.61144
Marseille
Strasbourg		41.1%
31.6%		27.3%
-108
+335
-110
+300
1
1		-1.32754-1.33124-1.29960
Lens
Clermont Foot		45.8%
27.3%		26.8%
+105
+308
+100
+290
3
0		-0.73628-0.74244-0.77997
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain		8.2%
77.9%		13.9%
+526
-219
+500
-220
2
5		-0.41685-0.42745-0.24941
Marseille
Lens		35.0%
37.1%		27.9%
+225
+135
+220
+130
0
1		-0.87724-0.87347-0.99169
Toulouse
Lille		15.9%
63.2%		20.9%
+535
-176
+575
-215
1
1		-1.53856-1.55566-1.56777
Lorient
Clermont Foot		29.1%
43.6%		27.4%
+250
+125
+255
+115
0
1		-0.83919-0.80979-0.83126
Monaco
Le Havre		53.5%
21.7%		24.8%
-134
+392
-135
+345
0
0		-1.43058-1.42474-1.39473
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62225 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57547
0.04200
0.04679

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.