France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lyon
Lorient 		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+109
+280
+110
+280
1.58
1.14		2.72
o2¼-116
u2¼+105
o2½+105
u2½-120
Games for Dec 6, 2025
Games for Dec 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Lille		15.9%
63.2%		20.9%
+535
-176
+575
-215
1
1		-1.53856-1.55566-1.56777
Lorient
Clermont Foot		29.1%
43.6%		27.4%
+250
+125
+255
+115
0
1		-0.83919-0.80979-0.83126
Monaco
Le Havre		53.5%
21.7%		24.8%
-134
+392
-135
+345
0
0		-1.43058-1.42474-1.39473
Paris Saint-Germain
Reims		67.8%
12.6%		19.5%
-157
+423
-185
+455
3
0		-0.52077-0.48237-0.38805
Brest
Monaco		14.6%
66.3%		19.0%
+345
-124
+345
-135
0
2		-0.61926-0.59649-0.41053
Le Havre
Toulouse		15.0%
63.6%		21.5%
+310
+104
+310
+100
2
1		-1.43469-1.46132-1.90019
Clermont Foot
Strasbourg		15.6%
63.0%		21.4%
+237
+138
+230
+130
0
0		-1.19429-1.21221-1.54071
Reims
Nantes		21.4%
53.2%		25.4%
+160
+192
+155
+185
1
0		-0.97649-0.98556-1.54099
Lille
Marseille		22.4%
52.8%		24.8%
+330
-108
+300
-110
0
0		-1.34002-1.33124-1.39372
Lens
Lorient		42.5%
30.6%		26.9%
-115
+350
-135
+375
0
0		-1.32531-1.37215-1.31275
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain		5.9%
82.5%		11.5%
+983
-368
+950
-420
0
3		-0.26685-0.26445-0.19189
Strasbourg
Rennes		20.3%
56.6%		23.2%
+625
-204
+625
-225
1
1		-1.55211-1.55519-1.46274
Monaco
Lille		24.5%
50.9%		24.6%
+179
+150
+175
+140
0
2		-0.94387-0.92480-0.67519
Nantes
Lens		23.7%
51.4%		24.9%
+470
-162
+450
-170
0
4		-0.50673-0.51371-0.66540
Lorient
Reims		19.9%
55.8%		24.2%
+400
-133
+375
-145
0
1		-0.58128-0.57263-0.58264
Clermont Foot
Lyon		11.9%
70.0%		18.1%
+325
-110
+300
-115
2
1		-1.47587-1.43658-2.12830
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.95537 
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.93401 
DRatings42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.88633
0.06904
0.04768

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.