France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+106
+250
+105
+248
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-118
u3¼-118
o3-115
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+205
+140
+187
+140
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-102
u2¾-109
o2½-125
u2½+110
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Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Rennes		28.6%
44.4%		26.9%
+268
+109
+240
+110
2
1		-1.33052-1.27075-1.25075
Metz
Lille		13.9%
65.5%		20.5%
+1150
-392
+1125
-380
1
6		-0.25310-0.25613-0.42254
Marseille
Lens		39.4%
33.0%		27.6%
+180
+159
+170
+155
1
2		-0.97708-0.98714-1.10924
Toulouse
Monaco		12.6%
69.9%		17.5%
+227
+122
+280
+115
0
1		-0.83023-0.77150-0.35743
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		69.5%
12.4%		18.1%
-279
+805
-310
+815
3
0		-0.32969-0.32414-0.36393
Nantes
Paris FC		28.4%
43.9%		27.7%
+525
-163
+480
-170
2
1		-1.83961-1.80570-1.26016
Lille
Nantes		39.2%
32.4%		28.4%
-151
+467
-140
+400
2
0		-0.53883-0.58780-0.93634
Metz
Toulouse		16.1%
62.7%		21.3%
+540
-185
+525
-190
0
4		-0.46679-0.46949-0.46732
Auxerre
Rennes		22.0%
54.1%		23.9%
+338
-117
+325
-115
2
2		-1.35139-1.34796-1.43280
Brest
Lorient		42.3%
31.1%		26.6%
+169
+179
+170
+175
3
3		-1.22441-1.22601-1.32381
Paris FC
Lens		21.3%
54.1%		24.6%
+340
-120
+350
-125
1
2		-0.63809-0.62790-0.61439
Le Havre
Marseille		5.7%
81.2%		13.1%
+1030
-303
+900
-320
2
6		-0.30396-0.31472-0.20876
Monaco
Angers		67.1%
14.1%		18.8%
-159
+465
-150
+405
1
1		-1.44333-1.43322-1.67238
Lyon
Nice		32.3%
40.5%		27.2%
+220
+130
+216
+130
2
3		-0.86071-0.86152-0.90424
Strasbourg
Paris Saint-Germain		3.6%
87.7%		8.7%
+715
-255
+680
-260
3
3		-1.68918-1.67948-2.44173
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille		63.9%
15.3%		20.8%
+107
+261
+110
+250
1
1		-1.32821-1.28884-1.57079
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.