France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brest
Rennes 		27.5%
46.8%		25.7%
+322
-119
+310
-120
1.09
1.51		2.60
o2¾-108
u2¾-105
o2½-135
u2½+115
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz 		78.3%
7.5%		14.2%
-345
+850
-360
+825
2.58
0.68		3.26
o3½+102
u3½-113
o3½+100
u3½-115
Toulouse
Paris FC 		35.6%
35.7%		28.7%
+205
+149
+205
+145
1.12
1.13		2.25
o2¼-118
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 12, 2025
Games for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Clermont Foot		56.6%
20.3%		23.1%
-103
+286
-120
+300
1
2		-1.37650-1.43687-1.59544
Ajaccio
Paris Saint-Germain		3.0%
87.9%		9.1%

+1700
-910
0
5		-0.15475-0.12936
Nice
Strasbourg		32.0%
40.2%		27.8%
+200
+156
+195
+140
0
2		-0.95792-0.92402-0.91247
Reims
Lens		11.5%
70.1%		18.4%
+472
-165
+475
-195
1
2		-0.48854-0.46498-0.35455
Paris Saint-Germain
Troyes		82.0%
5.7%		12.3%

-400
+900
3
1		-0.27338-0.19855
Montpellier
Lyon		8.4%
77.8%		13.8%
+392
-141
+375
-150
4
5		-0.55670-0.56103-0.25062
Strasbourg
Nantes		35.3%
36.1%		28.6%
+184
+182
+160
+185
2
0		-1.06285-1.00709-1.04032
Brest
Lorient		23.6%
52.4%		24.1%
+201
+163
+200
+135
1
2		-0.99163-0.90604-0.64691
Clermont Foot
Auxerre		27.6%
45.7%		26.7%
+216
+146
+210
+135
1
1		-1.22173-1.24382-1.32081
Toulouse
Ajaccio		33.5%
35.9%		30.5%
+104
+296
+100
+280
0
0		-1.29106-1.29000-1.18646
Monaco
Angers		64.7%
15.3%		20.0%
-166
+465
-175
+460
2
1		-0.49944-0.48379-0.43479
Marseille
Lens		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+206
+147
+190
+140
1
2		-0.92143-0.92553-0.73216
Lille
Reims		45.0%
27.1%		27.8%
-100
+277
+105
+245
0
1		-1.34788-1.28870-1.30505
Rennes
Nice		30.4%
42.4%		27.2%
+183
+165
+185
+145
1
2		-0.99085-0.94788-0.85710
Nantes
Brest		19.8%
57.4%		22.8%
+232
+152
+215
+145
0
2		-0.93961-0.94317-0.55577
Lens
Toulouse		46.9%
27.4%		25.6%
-157
+437
-160
+390
1
0		-0.51443-0.53623-0.75670
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80260 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80406 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.45901
0.34359
0.34505

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.