France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain
7.5%
80.0%
12.5%
+950
-333
+906
-350
1
3
-0.29043-0.29422-0.22289
Strasbourg
Nantes
47.5%
26.8%
25.6%
+114
+265
+100
+272
3
2
-0.78981-0.74242-0.74408
Metz
Rennes
11.7%
68.8%
19.4%
+900
-325
+850
-315
0
0
-1.81566-1.74985-1.63743
Lille
Marseille
25.1%
49.3%
25.6%
+310
-108
+305
-110
2
1
-1.44037-1.44244-1.38254
Le Havre
Paris FC
23.2%
50.7%
26.2%
+285
+120
+290
+115
2
3
-0.81873-0.81265-0.68005
Monaco
Lyon
38.9%
34.9%
26.1%
+164
+170
+151
+175
2
1
-1.00038-0.96082-0.94433
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice
68.3%
12.9%
18.7%
-222
+610
-235
+555
4
0
-0.40172-0.40357-0.38081
Brest
Auxerre
31.0%
41.9%
27.1%
+260
+138
+240
+136
0
3
-0.88141-0.89629-0.87048
Lorient
Toulouse
22.8%
53.8%
23.4%
+390
-112
+400
-125
0
1
-0.66008-0.63626-0.62083
Angers
Lens
10.4%
71.1%
18.4%
+1300
-435
+1200
-450
1
5
-0.23393-0.24301-0.34111
Lille
Rennes
30.8%
41.6%
27.6%
+240
+130
+235
+125
2
1
-1.25082-1.24289-1.17902
Toulouse
Metz
47.9%
25.2%
26.8%
+100
+310
+102
+300
4
3
-0.72155-0.73741-0.73509
Lyon
Le Havre
50.4%
25.2%
24.4%
+119
+257
+120
+245
0
0
-1.25414-1.24671-1.41079
Paris FC
Strasbourg
20.7%
56.4%
22.9%
+405
-141
+400
-150
0
0
-1.42263-1.45021-1.47190
Brest
Monaco
19.0%
60.8%
20.2%
+450
-160
+415
-160
0
2
-0.51911-0.53479-0.49738
Nice
Angers
40.9%
31.0%
28.0%
+146
+240
+135
+235
2
0
-0.91514-0.89703-0.89296
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.