France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+103
+265
+100
+248
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-123
u3¼-116
o3-115
u3-105
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+215
+133
+225
+130
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-102
u2¾-109
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marseille
Strasbourg		43.7%
29.6%		26.7%
+119
+239
+120
+225
2
1		-0.80991-0.83144-0.82851
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		61.6%
17.1%		21.4%

-130
+322
0
1		-1.49188-1.76791
Toulouse
Auxerre		33.3%
39.3%		27.4%
+140
+242
+130
+230
0
1		-1.24167-1.23663-0.93400
Lorient
Le Havre		40.3%
31.1%		28.6%
+272
+118
+255
+115
1
1		-1.23467-1.25541-1.25323
Metz
Monaco		7.2%
79.6%		13.2%
+795
-302
+760
-312
2
5		-0.31258-0.32018-0.22860
Strasbourg
Paris FC		28.0%
45.0%		27.0%
+208
+142
+203
+140
3
2		-1.14825-1.14448-1.27297
Lille
Lens		36.0%
35.4%		28.7%
+230
+125
+215
+130
0
3		-0.83968-0.87414-1.03979
Nice
Brest		27.5%
45.9%		26.6%
+132
+208
+135
+210
1
4		-1.15636-1.15325-0.77838
Rennes
Nantes		33.2%
38.9%		27.9%
+103
+300
+100
+290
2
2		-1.28067-1.28359-1.27783
Angers
Lyon		9.6%
74.9%		15.4%
+680
-215
+650
-220
0
1		-0.39463-0.40862-0.28866
Lyon
Rennes		35.3%
37.8%		26.9%
+184
+155
+195
+144
1
3		-0.96722-0.93321-0.97334
Angers
Metz		21.9%
53.6%		24.5%
+253
+128
+246
+125
1
1		-1.19915-1.20808-1.40511
Paris FC
Brest		17.0%
60.8%		22.2%
+168
+170
+160
+175
2
1		-1.01866-0.99701-1.76931
Lens
Paris Saint-Germain		4.1%
86.3%		9.6%
+715
-285
+700
-300
0
2		-0.33551-0.33122-0.14711
Le Havre
Strasbourg		11.6%
69.2%		19.3%
+344
-115
+350
-130
0
1		-0.64940-0.61990-0.36863
Toulouse
Lille		23.2%
52.0%		24.8%
+355
-113
+350
-125
1
2		-0.65643-0.63471-0.65308
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.