France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+104
+260
+100
+248
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3¼+105
u3¼-116
o3-115
u3-105
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+215
+132
+225
+130
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-102
u2¾-109
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Auxerre		55.2%
21.8%		23.0%
-167
+420
-175
+420
2
1		-0.50246-0.49479-0.59399
Nantes
Nice		17.9%
59.0%		23.1%
+492
-170
+468
-170
0
1		-0.50026-0.51103-0.52787
Lorient
Marseille		10.3%
73.3%		16.4%
+745
-270
+740
-300
0
4		-0.34947-0.33731-0.31060
Marseille
Lyon		28.5%
46.0%		25.6%
+139
+200
+145
+180
0
1		-1.12772-1.07784-0.77727
Nice
Le Havre		67.4%
12.1%		20.5%
+125
+238
+126
+230
1
3		-1.24841-1.23278-2.11238
Strasbourg
Monaco		10.1%
74.2%		15.7%
+568
-215
+590
-205
2
3		-0.41288-0.40482-0.29899
Rennes
Angers		54.0%
22.1%		23.9%
-117
+346
-115
+365
1
1		-1.34542-1.31834-1.43138
Paris Saint-Germain
Toulouse		54.5%
21.9%		23.6%
-280
+759
-300
+775
6
3		-0.33827-0.32964-0.60668
Auxerre
Nantes		47.3%
26.5%		26.2%
+193
+159
+200
+155
0
1		-0.97987-0.97336-1.32795
Lille
Lorient		40.2%
32.3%		27.6%
+121
+235
+120
+235
7
1		-0.82748-0.82650-0.91227
Brest
Lens		31.7%
41.3%		27.0%
+295
-105
+310
-110
1
3		-0.69987-0.68746-0.88494
Monaco
Lille		35.1%
37.5%		27.4%
+118
+232
+120
+245
0
1		-1.23114-1.26805-0.98064
Nantes
Strasbourg		18.5%
58.9%		22.6%
+395
-126
+415
-128
0
1		-0.61578-0.60644-0.52945
Lens
Le Havre		51.2%
22.6%		26.2%
-113
+331
-120
+346
2
1		-0.66547-0.64814-0.66943
Brest
Toulouse		25.2%
49.9%		24.9%
+233
+129
+230
+121
0
2		-0.85423-0.84144-0.69501
Rennes
Lorient		34.0%
38.8%		27.2%
+160
+182
+160
+180
0
4		-1.06871-1.07256-0.94675
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.