France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 33 sec ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/24/2024 07:00 PM	Nice Marseille	14.1% 65.7%	20.2%	+261 +125 +255 +125	2 2	-1.22237-1.21190	-1.60092
04/24/2024 07:00 PM	Lille Monaco	27.6% 46.7%	25.7%	+198 +142 +185 +140	0 1	-0.89911-0.92352	-0.76093
04/24/2024 05:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Lorient	75.6% 9.0%	15.4%	-240 +631 -250 +605	4 1	-0.38128-0.38202	-0.28007
04/21/2024 07:00 PM	Lyon Paris Saint-Germain	6.7% 80.7%	12.5%	+415 -168 +425 -175	1 4	-0.50071-0.49989	-0.21406
04/21/2024 05:00 PM	Marseille Toulouse	48.3% 26.2%	25.5%	+174 +173 +165 +175	2 2	-1.23829-1.22622	-1.36814
04/21/2024 03:05 PM	Monaco Brest	38.4% 34.8%	26.7%	+173 +164 +170 +155	2 0	-1.02918-1.04035	-0.95709
04/21/2024 01:00 PM	Montpellier Reims	29.6% 43.3%	27.1%	+221 +124 +230 +110	2 1	-1.19060-1.24223	-1.21841
04/21/2024 01:00 PM	Strasbourg Lille	14.2% 65.7%	20.1%	+520 -163 +475 -165	0 1	-0.50306-0.52540	-0.41990
04/20/2024 03:00 PM	Rennes Nantes	32.6% 39.5%	27.8%	+147 +216 +145 +200	3 0	-0.93280-0.94410	-1.11969
04/19/2024 07:00 PM	Lorient Nice	20.6% 55.8%	23.6%	+519 -173 +510 -185	0 3	-0.48362-0.48203	-0.58363
04/14/2024 06:45 PM	Brest Lyon	20.6% 57.0%	22.3%	+295 +107 +265 +110	3 4	-0.75747-0.79376	-0.56175
04/13/2024 07:00 PM	Toulouse Rennes	16.0% 63.4%	20.6%	+362 -118 +330 -120	2 1	-1.55107-1.50928	-1.83158
04/13/2024 03:00 PM	Reims Strasbourg	26.2% 47.0%	26.8%	+202 +147 +195 +140	1 3	-0.92568-0.92402	-0.75572
04/07/2024 06:45 PM	Lyon Nantes	32.1% 40.8%	27.0%	+120 +259 +120 +240	3 1	-0.81871-0.83884	-1.13557
04/07/2024 03:05 PM	Rennes Monaco	22.5% 54.2%	23.3%	+320 -123 +305 -125	0 1	-0.62237-0.63597	-0.61245
04/07/2024 01:00 PM	Strasbourg Toulouse	29.0% 45.0%	26.0%	+260 +115 +250 +110	0 0	-1.28096-1.28884	-1.34569

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/22/24

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Paris Saint-Germain (19-1-9, 66 pts)	22.7	1.5	9.8	77.8	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Monaco (16-6-7, 55 pts)	18.0	7.6	8.4	62.4	0.0%	87.5%	12.5%	0.0%
3	Brest (15-7-8, 53 pts)	16.4	8.4	9.2	58.4	0.0%	36.4%	62.3%	0.0%
4	Lille (14-5-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.3	11.4	60.2	0.0%	74.1%	25.6%	0.0%
5	Nice (13-8-8, 47 pts)	14.6	10.1	9.3	53.0	0.0%	1.7%	52.6%	0.0%
6	Lens (13-10-7, 46 pts)	14.5	11.3	8.2	51.6	0.0%	0.3%	32.1%	0.0%
7	Rennes (11-10-9, 42 pts)	12.7	11.2	10.1	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%	0.0%
8	Lyon (12-13-5, 41 pts)	13.6	14.3	6.1	46.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.9%	0.0%
9	Marseille (10-9-10, 40 pts)	12.4	10.3	11.4	48.5	0.0%	0.0%	10.0%	0.0%
10	Reims (11-12-7, 40 pts)	12.3	13.6	8.1	45.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
11	Toulouse (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.7	11.1	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Montpellier (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.3	12.5	11.2	42.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Strasbourg (9-12-9, 36 pts)	10.5	13.3	10.2	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Nantes (9-17-4, 31 pts)	10.4	18.4	5.2	36.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%
15	Metz (8-17-5, 29 pts)	8.7	19.4	5.9	32.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.4%
16	Le Havre (6-14-10, 28 pts)	6.8	16.3	10.9	31.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	34.3%
17	Lorient (6-15-8, 26 pts)	7.3	17.5	9.3	31.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.0%
18	Clermont Foot (4-16-10, 22 pts)	5.1	17.9	11.1	26.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	94.3%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.