Werder Bremen at Mainz 05

Updated

Werder Bremen

24.7%23.3%52.0%
Werder Bremen WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.78
2Final Score 2

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Hoffenheim+120
T 2-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+300
L 3-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+250
L 1-2 at Augsburg+217
W 0-3 vs VfL Bochum-110
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 3-0 at RB Leipzig+552
T 1-1 vs Freiburg+100
T 1-1 at Hertha BSC+130
W 0-1 vs Hoffenheim-110
W 0-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+113

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+300+391+380+385-+405+405+423.3
Mainz 05-125-139-145-140--145-139-133.2
Draw+295+292+300+306-+306+306+320.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+345-+338-+340+360+360+423.3
Mainz 05-135--131--165-135-131-133.2
Draw+295-+289-+265+285+289+320.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +362 to +355
Mainz 05 ML moved from -123 to -134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +367 to +333
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-130o2½-122o2½-118-o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu2¾-105u2½+110u2½+102u2½-102-u2½-102u2½+110u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-145o2½-128-o2½-145o2½-135o2½-128o2½-107
Underu2½+125u2½+125u2½+108-u2½+115u2½+115u2½+125u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.9%
 
No43.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.60%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.64%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 031.51%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 016.87%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 315.85%
Exactly 47.05%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.70%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 310.74%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 043.87%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.89%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals9.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals28.81%
Wins by 3+ goals12.92%
Wins by 4+ goals4.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal15.02%
Wins by 2 goals6.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal23.14%
Wins by 2 goals15.89%
Wins by 3 goals8.15%
Wins by 4 goals3.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.10%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.09%20.91%
2.556.20%43.80%
3.533.81%66.19%
4.517.39%82.61%
5.57.75%92.25%
6.53.03%96.97%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.49%31.51%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.13%16.87%
1.553.11%46.89%
2.526.39%73.61%
3.510.55%89.45%
4.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.30%25.70%
1.539.38%60.62%
2.515.66%84.34%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.31%
9.46%
8.42%
4.99%
2.22%
0.79%
1
6.14%
10.92%
9.72%
5.77%
2.57%
0.91%
2
3.55%
6.31%
5.61%
3.33%
1.48%
0.53%
3
1.36%
2.43%
2.16%
1.28%
0.57%
0.20%
4
0.39%
0.70%
0.62%
0.37%
0.16%
0.06%
Werder Bremen
1-06.14%
2-03.55%
2-16.31%
3-01.36%
3-12.43%
3-22.16%
4-00.39%
4-10.70%
4-20.62%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-110.92%
2-25.61%
3-31.28%
4-40.16%
Mainz 05
0-19.46%
0-28.42%
1-29.72%
0-34.99%
1-35.77%
2-33.33%
0-42.22%
1-42.57%
2-41.48%
3-40.57%
0-50.79%
1-50.91%
2-50.53%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
25.70%
21.17%
8.72%
2.40%
0.49%
1
13.74%
11.32%
4.67%
1.28%
0.26%
2
3.67%
3.03%
1.25%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.66%
0.54%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Werder Bremen
1-013.74%
2-03.67%
2-13.03%
3-00.66%
3-10.54%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.70%
1-111.32%
2-21.25%
Mainz 05
0-121.17%
0-28.72%
1-24.67%
0-32.40%
1-31.28%
2-30.34%
0-40.49%
1-40.26%