Leverkusen at St. Pauli

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

67.3%18.0%14.7%
Leverkusen WinDrawWin
2.37Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin-283
W 1-0 at FC Heidenheim-215
W 1-3 vs VfL Bochum-450
W 4-3 at VfB Stuttgart+125
L 2-0 vs Werder Bremen-320
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 2-1 at Holstein Kiel+125
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+135
L 2-3 at Bayern Munich+2475
W 0-1 vs Hoffenheim+135
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-145--145-142-147-142-142-131.0
St. Pauli+390-+380+405+396+405+405+422.6
Draw+295-+295+300+288+300+300+313.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-135--145--160-140-140-131.0
St. Pauli+380-+375-+380+380+380+422.6
Draw+275-+300-+230+285+300+313.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -135 to -142
St. Pauli ML moved from +390 to +380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -155 to -175
St. Pauli ML moved from +375 to +363

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½-115o2¾+100o2½-114o2¾+100o2½-114o2¾+109
Underu2½-110-u2½-105u2¾-120u2½-106u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-130o2½-115-o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2¾+109
Underu2½-120u2½+110u2½-105-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+110u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-105 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.9%
 
No42.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.38%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 418.54%
Exactly 67.09%
Exactly 81.45%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.45%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 512.56%
Exactly 73.43%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 09.36%
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 036.10%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.74%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.83%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 45.25%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 313.40%
Exactly 51.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 062.39%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals44.83%
Wins by 3+ goals25.02%
Wins by 4+ goals11.77%
Wins by 5+ goals4.71%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals4.96%
Wins by 3+ goals1.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals19.82%
Wins by 3 goals13.25%
Wins by 4 goals7.06%
Wins by 5 goals3.11%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal9.64%
Wins by 2 goals3.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.62%3.38%
1.585.18%14.82%
2.565.79%34.21%
3.543.90%56.10%
4.525.35%74.65%
5.512.79%87.21%
6.55.70%94.30%
7.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.64%9.36%
1.568.47%31.53%
2.542.21%57.79%
3.521.48%78.52%
4.59.20%90.80%
5.53.38%96.62%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.90%36.10%
1.527.12%72.88%
2.58.38%91.62%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.17%20.83%
1.546.48%53.52%
2.520.85%79.15%
3.57.45%92.55%
4.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
3.38%
3.44%
1.75%
0.60%
0.15%
1
8.00%
8.15%
4.15%
1.41%
0.36%
2
9.48%
9.66%
4.92%
1.67%
0.43%
3
7.48%
7.63%
3.89%
1.32%
0.34%
4
4.43%
4.52%
2.30%
0.78%
0.20%
5
2.10%
2.14%
1.09%
0.37%
0.09%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-08.00%
2-09.48%
2-19.66%
3-07.48%
3-17.63%
3-23.89%
4-04.43%
4-14.52%
4-22.30%
4-30.78%
5-02.10%
5-12.14%
5-21.09%
5-30.37%
Draw
0-03.38%
1-18.15%
2-24.92%
3-31.32%
4-40.20%
FC St. Pauli
0-13.44%
0-21.75%
1-24.15%
0-30.60%
1-31.41%
2-31.67%
0-40.15%
1-40.36%
2-40.43%
3-40.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Score0123
0
20.84%
9.83%
2.32%
0.36%
1
22.85%
10.78%
2.54%
0.40%
2
12.53%
5.91%
1.39%
0.22%
3
4.58%
2.16%
0.51%
0.08%
4
1.26%
0.59%
0.14%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-022.85%
2-012.53%
2-15.91%
3-04.58%
3-12.16%
3-20.51%
4-01.26%
4-10.59%
4-20.14%
5-00.28%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-020.84%
1-110.78%
2-21.39%
FC St. Pauli
0-19.83%
0-22.32%
1-22.54%
0-30.36%
1-30.40%
2-30.22%