Leverkusen at Freiburg

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

56.2%22.1%21.6%
Leverkusen WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.91Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 2

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Augsburg-215
T 1-1 at FC St. Pauli-140
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin-283
W 1-0 at FC Heidenheim-215
W 1-3 vs VfL Bochum-450
Freiburg
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wolfsburg+190
W 2-3 vs Hoffenheim-110
W 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+205
L 4-1 vs Dortmund+220
L 2-1 vs Union Berlin-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+120+126+130+122+120+122+126+129.7
Freiburg+215+212+195+223+210+223+223+234.2
Draw+255+261+265+264+259+264+265+276.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+125-+120-+105+125+125+129.7
Freiburg+220-+212-+185+195+212+234.2
Draw+240-+260-+250+270+270+276.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +145 to +135
Freiburg ML moved from +184 to +177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +135 to +125
Freiburg ML moved from +200 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+107o3+100o3+103o3+102o3+103o3+107o3+112
Underu2¾-112u3-126u3-120u3-123u3-124u3-123u3-120u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+105o3+105-o2½-140o3+105o2½-140o3+112
Underu2½+125u3-125u3-125-u2½+110u3-125u3-125u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-106 to o3+103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3-110
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%
 
No42.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.87%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 416.92%
Exactly 65.15%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.72%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.23%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 014.72%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.26%
Exactly 48.27%
Exactly 53.17%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 033.09%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.68%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 311.27%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 041.18%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.21%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals32.77%
Wins by 3+ goals15.58%
Wins by 4+ goals6.12%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals8.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal23.40%
Wins by 2 goals17.19%
Wins by 3 goals9.46%
Wins by 4 goals4.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.47%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal13.50%
Wins by 2 goals5.72%
Wins by 3 goals1.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.13%4.87%
1.580.41%19.59%
2.558.17%41.83%
3.535.77%64.23%
4.518.84%81.16%
5.58.61%91.39%
6.53.46%96.54%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.28%14.72%
1.557.08%42.92%
2.530.06%69.94%
3.512.81%87.19%
4.54.54%95.46%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.91%33.09%
1.530.31%69.69%
2.510.08%89.92%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.32%24.68%
1.540.79%59.21%
2.516.63%83.37%
3.55.36%94.64%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Freiburg
Score01234
0
4.87%
5.39%
2.98%
1.10%
0.30%
1
9.33%
10.32%
5.71%
2.10%
0.58%
2
8.94%
9.89%
5.47%
2.02%
0.56%
3
5.71%
6.31%
3.49%
1.29%
0.36%
4
2.74%
3.02%
1.67%
0.62%
0.17%
5
1.05%
1.16%
0.64%
0.24%
0.07%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-09.33%
2-08.94%
2-19.89%
3-05.71%
3-16.31%
3-23.49%
4-02.74%
4-13.02%
4-21.67%
4-30.62%
5-01.05%
5-11.16%
5-20.64%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.87%
1-110.32%
2-25.47%
3-31.29%
4-40.17%
Freiburg
0-15.39%
0-22.98%
1-25.71%
0-31.10%
1-32.10%
2-32.02%
0-40.30%
1-40.58%
2-40.56%
3-40.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Freiburg
Score0123
0
24.68%
12.64%
3.24%
0.55%
1
21.90%
11.21%
2.87%
0.49%
2
9.71%
4.97%
1.27%
0.22%
3
2.87%
1.47%
0.38%
0.06%
4
0.64%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-021.90%
2-09.71%
2-14.97%
3-02.87%
3-11.47%
3-20.38%
4-00.64%
4-10.33%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-024.68%
1-111.21%
2-21.27%
Freiburg
0-112.64%
0-23.24%
1-22.87%
0-30.55%
1-30.49%
2-30.22%