Dortmund at Mainz 05

Updated

Dortmund

57.9%21.3%20.7%
Dortmund WinDrawMainz 05 Win
2.01Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 0

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arminia Bielefeld-320
T 1-1 at Augsburg-115
W 0-6 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-123
W 3-0 at Union Berlin+105
L 5-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen-105
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+180
W 2-3 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+207
T 1-1 at Freiburg+257
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim+168
L 1-2 at SpVgg Greuther Furth-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-110+135+130--+135+135+143.0
Mainz 05+280+190+205--+205+205+215.3
Draw+280+240+265--+255+255+268.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-115-+132--130+100+132+143.0
Mainz 05+300-+206-+260+260+260+215.3
Draw+275-+232-+250+265+255+268.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
Mainz 05 ML moved from +230 to +210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
Mainz 05 ML moved from +235 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o2¾-115o2¾-122--o2¾-122o2¾-115o2½-128
Underu3-112u2¾-105u2¾+102--u2¾+102u2¾+102u2½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o2½-140o2½-140-o3-110o2½-140o2½-140o2½-128
Underu3-130u2½+120u2½+120-u3-120u2½+120u3-120u2½+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%
 
No41.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.32%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 417.54%
Exactly 65.77%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.58%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.02%
Exactly 72.59%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 013.33%
Exactly 126.86%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.18%
Exactly 49.16%
Exactly 53.69%
Exactly 61.24%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 032.44%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.36%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 44.35%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 311.97%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 039.33%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.12%
Exactly 35.33%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 059.38%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals34.70%
Wins by 3+ goals17.08%
Wins by 4+ goals6.98%
Wins by 5+ goals2.37%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals7.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal23.13%
Wins by 2 goals17.62%
Wins by 3 goals10.11%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.72%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal12.92%
Wins by 2 goals5.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.68%4.32%
1.582.10%17.90%
2.560.77%39.23%
3.538.43%61.57%
4.520.90%79.10%
5.59.88%90.12%
6.54.11%95.89%
7.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.67%13.33%
1.559.81%40.19%
2.532.75%67.25%
3.514.57%85.43%
4.55.40%94.60%
5.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.56%32.44%
1.531.04%68.96%
2.510.48%89.52%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.64%23.36%
1.542.68%57.32%
2.517.98%82.02%
3.56.00%94.00%
4.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
4.32%
4.87%
2.74%
1.03%
0.29%
1
8.71%
9.81%
5.52%
2.07%
0.58%
2
8.78%
9.88%
5.56%
2.09%
0.59%
3
5.90%
6.64%
3.74%
1.40%
0.39%
4
2.97%
3.35%
1.88%
0.71%
0.20%
5
1.20%
1.35%
0.76%
0.28%
0.08%
Dortmund
1-08.71%
2-08.78%
2-19.88%
3-05.90%
3-16.64%
3-23.74%
4-02.97%
4-13.35%
4-21.88%
4-30.71%
5-01.20%
5-11.35%
5-20.76%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-04.32%
1-19.81%
2-25.56%
3-31.40%
4-40.20%
Mainz 05
0-14.87%
0-22.74%
1-25.52%
0-31.03%
1-32.07%
2-32.09%
0-40.29%
1-40.58%
2-40.59%
3-40.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Mainz 05
Score0123
0
23.36%
12.17%
3.17%
0.55%
1
21.79%
11.36%
2.96%
0.51%
2
10.17%
5.30%
1.38%
0.24%
3
3.16%
1.65%
0.43%
0.07%
4
0.74%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-021.79%
2-010.17%
2-15.30%
3-03.16%
3-11.65%
3-20.43%
4-00.74%
4-10.38%
4-20.10%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-023.36%
1-111.36%
2-21.38%
Mainz 05
0-112.17%
0-23.17%
1-22.96%
0-30.55%
1-30.51%
2-30.24%