Dortmund at Leverkusen

Updated

Dortmund

15.2%18.1%66.6%
WinDrawLeverkusen Win
1.06Projected Goals 2.37
4Final Score 2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Wolfsburg-395
W 3-2 at Hoffenheim-120
W 2-3 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-290
T 2-2 at Bayern Munich+555
W 4-1 at Freiburg+115
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Freiburg+125
W 0-2 vs Augsburg-215
T 1-1 at FC St. Pauli-140
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin-283
W 1-0 at FC Heidenheim-215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+152+157+150+158+150+158+158+166.8
Leverkusen+159+156+155+158+155+158+158+166.8
Draw+291+285+285+286+281+286+286+299.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+145-+154-+125+135+154+166.8
Leverkusen+155-+151-+140+170+170+166.8
Draw+300-+285-+280+290+290+299.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +138 to +130
Leverkusen ML moved from +165 to +159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Leverkusen: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +140 to +125
Leverkusen ML moved from +170 to +151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-140o3¼-105o3¼-107o3¼-104o3¼-107o3¼-104o3¼+103
Underu3+111u3+119u3¼-115u3¼-113u3¼-116u3¼-113u3¼-113u3¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3-130o3½+120-o3-140o3-130o3-130o3¼+103
Underu3+120u3+110u3½-140-u3+110u3+110u3½-140u3¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.1%
 
No40.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.25%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 418.67%
Exactly 67.31%
Exactly 81.53%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.13%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 512.80%
Exactly 73.58%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 034.86%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.36%
Exactly 36.80%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 09.31%
Exactly 122.11%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 320.76%
Exactly 412.32%
Exactly 55.85%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.45%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 45.41%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 313.63%
Exactly 51.72%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 061.39%
Exactly 129.95%
Exactly 27.31%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 033.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals5.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals44.25%
Wins by 3+ goals24.65%
Wins by 4+ goals11.59%
Wins by 5+ goals4.64%
Wins by 6+ goals1.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal9.90%
Wins by 2 goals3.85%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.32%
Wins by 2 goals19.60%
Wins by 3 goals13.07%
Wins by 4 goals6.95%
Wins by 5 goals3.06%
Wins by 6 goals1.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.75%3.25%
1.585.63%14.37%
2.566.56%33.44%
3.544.77%55.23%
4.526.10%73.90%
5.513.30%86.70%
6.55.99%94.01%
7.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.14%34.86%
1.528.41%71.59%
2.59.05%90.95%
3.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.69%9.31%
1.568.58%31.42%
2.542.34%57.66%
3.521.58%78.42%
4.59.26%90.74%
5.53.41%96.59%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.55%20.45%
1.547.09%52.91%
2.521.33%78.67%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score0123456
0
3.25%
7.71%
9.15%
7.24%
4.29%
2.04%
0.81%
1
3.42%
8.12%
9.64%
7.63%
4.53%
2.15%
0.85%
2
1.80%
4.28%
5.08%
4.02%
2.38%
1.13%
0.45%
3
0.63%
1.50%
1.78%
1.41%
0.84%
0.40%
0.16%
4
0.17%
0.40%
0.47%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Dortmund
1-03.42%
2-01.80%
2-14.28%
3-00.63%
3-11.50%
3-21.78%
4-00.17%
4-10.40%
4-20.47%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-03.25%
1-18.12%
2-25.08%
3-31.41%
4-40.22%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-17.71%
0-29.15%
1-29.64%
0-37.24%
1-37.63%
2-34.02%
0-44.29%
1-44.53%
2-42.38%
3-40.84%
0-52.04%
1-52.15%
2-51.13%
3-50.40%
4-50.10%
0-60.81%
1-60.85%
2-60.45%
3-60.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
20.45%
22.48%
12.35%
4.53%
1.24%
0.27%
1
9.98%
10.97%
6.03%
2.21%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.43%
2.68%
1.47%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.44%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-09.98%
2-02.43%
2-12.68%
3-00.40%
3-10.44%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-020.45%
1-110.97%
2-21.47%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-122.48%
0-212.35%
1-26.03%
0-34.53%
1-32.21%
2-30.54%
0-41.24%
1-40.61%
2-40.15%
0-50.27%
1-50.13%