German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 		50.9%
26.1%		23.0%
-105
+290
-105
+285
1.82
1.24		3.06
o2¾-103
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-588
+1475
-725
+1500
4
0		-0.18470-0.17471-0.14975
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+310
+104
+290
+105
0
0		-1.25162-1.26135-1.53322
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig		30.3%
44.9%		24.8%
+233
+112
+225
+120
3
1		-1.23753-1.20648-1.19462
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV		46.8%
29.6%		23.6%
+193
+153
+175
+150
1
1		-1.25818-1.31330-1.44223
Werder Bremen
Augsburg		31.0%
44.1%		24.9%
+230
+128
+200
+130
0
0		-1.26937-1.31557-1.39183
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		21.8%
56.7%		21.5%
+265
+100
+230
+107
0
0		-1.38123-1.40263-1.53735
Union Berlin
FC Koln		28.3%
46.9%		24.8%
+194
+164
+192
+150
1
0		-1.10745-1.12052-1.26280
Freiburg
Wolfsburg		25.6%
50.1%		24.2%
+196
+149
+175
+155
4
3		-1.11243-1.05463-1.36121
Borussia Monchengladbach
Dortmund		9.6%
76.6%		13.8%
+535
-196
+510
-205
0
2		-0.43569-0.44498-0.26704
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen		35.7%
38.6%		25.6%
+142
+186
+135
+187
4
0		-0.91220-0.89769-1.02943
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich		3.8%
88.1%		8.0%
+2700
-950
+2000
-950
2
2		-2.61716-2.55761-2.52087
Dortmund
Freiburg		55.1%
22.8%		22.1%
+102
+292
+105
+267
1
1		-1.30848-1.29773-1.50919
FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		8.7%
77.9%		13.4%
+320
-122
+340
-130
0
2		-0.62687-0.59528-0.24989
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli		17.5%
62.3%		20.2%
+360
-111
+370
-120
1
2		-0.67268-0.64527-0.47345
Wolfsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.6%
49.8%		23.6%
+280
+105
+263
+100
3
1		-1.34765-1.32916-1.32595
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		12.0%
71.9%		16.1%
+322
-114
+335
-125
0
1		-0.65554-0.62878-0.32944
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.