German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin		32.6%
41.3%		26.1%
+216
+158
+215
+150
4
1		-1.17186-1.18172-1.11948
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli		43.3%
33.3%		23.4%
+196
+159
+175
+160
0
0		-1.22054-1.24396-1.45192
Dortmund
FC Koln		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-120
+345
-125
+325
2
1		-0.61721-0.62781-0.51273
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-182
+490
-195
+500
4
2		-0.46606-0.45806-0.54376
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+275
-110
+280
2
2		-1.37413-1.39372-1.36995
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+185
+164
+185
+150
2
1		-1.06337-1.08326-1.16594
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+720
-255
+560
-245
1
2		-0.34643-0.38485-0.34350
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+140
+220
+135
+200
3
3		-1.25720-1.29638-1.42031
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		3.8%
88.4%		7.8%
+1050
-400
+1100
-485
1
4		-0.24501-0.21573-0.12341
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV		50.9%
26.1%		23.0%
+104
+265
+100
+265
1
0		-0.74541-0.73997-0.67546
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV		46.0%
29.8%		24.2%
-115
+305
-110
+280
2
1		-0.66006-0.68292-0.77564
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		21.6%
58.2%		20.1%
+225
+133
+215
+130
0
2		-0.86822-0.87335-0.54092
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart		16.1%
64.3%		19.5%
+620
-250
+635
-271
0
4		-0.36772-0.35818-0.44091
Bayern Munich
Dortmund		57.2%
21.1%		21.6%
-143
+350
-155
+368
3
2		-0.55792-0.53602-0.55774
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		31.5%
44.1%		24.4%
+220
+146
+205
+145
0
1		-0.92652-0.93889-0.81817
FC St. Pauli
Hoffenheim		15.5%
66.3%		18.1%
+580
-182
+500
-190
1
0		-1.94163-1.83967-1.86394
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.