Milan at Napoli

Updated

Milan

33.7%26.3%40.0%
Milan WinDrawNapoli Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 1

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Torino-280
L 0-1 at Lazio-120
W 0-1 vs Inter+230
W 2-0 at Cremonese-205
L 1-0 vs Parma-325
Napoli
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cagliari-140
W 1-2 vs Lecce-240
W 1-2 vs Torino-175
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona-160
L 1-2 at Atalanta+222

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+218+235+230+241+241+241+241+253.2
Napoli+160+150+142+137+137+137+150+145.5
Draw+198+200+195+212+212+212+212+223.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+210-+230--+225+230+253.2
Napoli+155-+145--+145+145+145.5
Draw+200-+202--+200+202+223.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +235 to +225
Napoli ML moved from +146 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Napoli ML moved from +158 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2¼+111o2¼+105o2-128o2-128o2-128o2-128o2-117
Underu2¼-122u2¼-127u2¼-125u2+108u2+108u2+108u2¼-125u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135o2-140o2-130--o2-130o2-130o2-117
Underu2+115u2+120u2+110--u2+110u2+120u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+120
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.46%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 414.11%
Exactly 63.17%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.36%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 57.33%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 029.21%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 39.07%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 025.53%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.06%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 38.70%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 056.56%
Exactly 132.23%
Exactly 29.18%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 053.14%
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 210.62%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals14.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals18.44%
Wins by 3+ goals6.68%
Wins by 4+ goals1.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Napoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.37%
Wins by 2 goals9.55%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal21.50%
Wins by 2 goals11.76%
Wins by 3 goals4.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.54%7.46%
1.573.19%26.81%
2.548.06%51.94%
3.526.32%73.68%
4.512.20%87.80%
5.54.88%95.12%
6.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.79%29.21%
1.534.84%65.16%
2.512.72%87.28%
3.53.65%96.35%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.47%25.53%
1.539.62%60.38%
2.515.82%84.18%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.94%30.06%
1.533.81%66.19%
2.512.10%87.90%
3.53.39%96.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Napoli
Score012345
0
7.46%
10.18%
6.95%
3.16%
1.08%
0.29%
1
9.18%
12.53%
8.55%
3.89%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.65%
7.71%
5.26%
2.40%
0.82%
0.22%
3
2.32%
3.16%
2.16%
0.98%
0.34%
0.09%
4
0.71%
0.97%
0.66%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.24%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Milan
1-09.18%
2-05.65%
2-17.71%
3-02.32%
3-13.16%
3-22.16%
4-00.71%
4-10.97%
4-20.66%
4-30.30%
5-00.18%
5-10.24%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.46%
1-112.53%
2-25.26%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Napoli
0-110.18%
0-26.95%
1-28.55%
0-33.16%
1-33.89%
2-32.40%
0-41.08%
1-41.33%
2-40.82%
3-40.34%
0-50.29%
1-50.36%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Napoli
Score01234
0
30.06%
19.00%
6.01%
1.27%
0.20%
1
17.13%
10.83%
3.42%
0.72%
0.11%
2
4.88%
3.09%
0.98%
0.21%
0.03%
3
0.93%
0.59%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-017.13%
2-04.88%
2-13.09%
3-00.93%
3-10.59%
3-20.19%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-030.06%
1-110.83%
2-20.98%
Napoli
0-119.00%
0-26.01%
1-23.42%
0-31.27%
1-30.72%
2-30.21%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%