Roma at Fiorentina

Updated

Roma

28.8%25.5%45.8%
Roma WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 2

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Salernitana-195
T 0-0 at Bologna+195
L 2-0 vs Inter+215
T 1-1 at Monza+110
T 1-1 vs Milan+175
Fiorentina
Money Line
T 1-1 at Torino+285
W 0-2 vs Udinese-115
L 0-1 at Napoli+350
T 3-3 at Salernitana-125
W 0-5 vs Sampdoria-305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+191+231+230+243+245+243+245+255.0
Fiorentina+151+131+125+128+132+128+132+136.0
Draw+236+226+230+228+231+228+231+239.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+185---+250+230+250+255.0
Fiorentina+150----115+130+130+136.0
Draw+235---+225+220+225+239.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +250 to +243
Fiorentina ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +240 to +230
Fiorentina ML moved from +100 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+112o2½+124o2¼-102o2¼-106o2½+127o2¼-106o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2½-132u2½-146u2¼-118u2¼-114u2½-142u2¼-114u2½-142u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+120--o2½+115o2½+130o2½+130o2¼+104
Underu2½-135u2½-140--u2½-145u2½-150u2½-140u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.90%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 414.69%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.46%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.85%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 031.61%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 021.84%
Exactly 133.23%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.01%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 058.67%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 28.34%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 049.44%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.26%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals11.47%
Wins by 3+ goals3.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals22.85%
Wins by 3+ goals9.05%
Wins by 4+ goals2.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Roma
Wins by 1 goal17.28%
Wins by 2 goals7.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals13.80%
Wins by 3 goals6.17%
Wins by 4 goals2.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.10%6.90%
1.574.64%25.36%
2.549.97%50.03%
3.528.00%72.00%
4.513.31%86.69%
5.55.46%94.54%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.39%31.61%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.16%21.84%
1.544.92%55.08%
2.519.65%80.35%
3.56.83%93.17%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.99%29.01%
1.535.09%64.91%
2.512.88%87.12%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
6.90%
10.50%
7.99%
4.05%
1.54%
0.47%
1
7.95%
12.10%
9.20%
4.67%
1.77%
0.54%
2
4.58%
6.97%
5.30%
2.69%
1.02%
0.31%
3
1.76%
2.67%
2.03%
1.03%
0.39%
0.12%
4
0.51%
0.77%
0.59%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.18%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Roma
1-07.95%
2-04.58%
2-16.97%
3-01.76%
3-12.67%
3-22.03%
4-00.51%
4-10.77%
4-20.59%
4-30.30%
5-00.12%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-06.90%
1-112.10%
2-25.30%
3-31.03%
4-40.11%
Fiorentina
0-110.50%
0-27.99%
1-29.20%
0-34.05%
1-34.67%
2-32.69%
0-41.54%
1-41.77%
2-41.02%
3-40.39%
0-50.47%
1-50.54%
2-50.31%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
29.01%
20.43%
7.19%
1.69%
0.30%
1
15.47%
10.90%
3.84%
0.90%
0.16%
2
4.12%
2.91%
1.02%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.73%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Roma
1-015.47%
2-04.12%
2-12.91%
3-00.73%
3-10.52%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-029.01%
1-110.90%
2-21.02%
Fiorentina
0-120.43%
0-27.19%
1-23.84%
0-31.69%
1-30.90%
2-30.24%
0-40.30%
1-40.16%