Sampdoria at Fiorentina

Updated

Sampdoria

10.5%16.4%73.1%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.42
0Final Score 5

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Spezia+170
T 1-1 at Lecce+430
L 3-2 vs Cremonese+135
L 0-3 at Roma+950
W 1-3 vs Hellas Verona+195
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 2-3 at Monza+115
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+135
T 1-1 vs Spezia-235
W 1-0 at Inter+350
W 0-1 vs Lecce-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+805+779+700+800+798+800+800+831.1
Fiorentina-263-284-300-292-287-292-284-257.1
Draw+389+435+460+460+461+460+461+479.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+875----+820+820+831.1
Fiorentina-310-----305-305-257.1
Draw+445----+430+430+479.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +794 to +779
Fiorentina ML moved from -285 to -292

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +845 to +820
Fiorentina ML moved from -300 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3-104o3-110o3-105o3-106o3-105o3-104o3+104
Underu2½+115u3-112u3-110u3-115u3-109u3-115u3-109u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-105--o3-115o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3-130u3-115--u3-115u3-115u3-115u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+120 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.99%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 417.90%
Exactly 66.19%
Exactly 81.15%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.86%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.53%
Exactly 72.85%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 044.86%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.42%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 08.90%
Exactly 121.53%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 412.70%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 70.86%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.51%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 44.64%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 312.44%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 068.99%
Exactly 125.61%
Exactly 24.75%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 032.63%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals2.99%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals50.42%
Wins by 3+ goals29.10%
Wins by 4+ goals14.12%
Wins by 5+ goals5.83%
Wins by 6+ goals2.05%
Wins by 7+ goals0.59%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal7.49%
Wins by 2 goals2.34%
Wins by 3 goals0.54%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals14.97%
Wins by 4 goals8.30%
Wins by 5 goals3.78%
Wins by 6 goals1.46%
Wins by 7 goals0.48%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.01%3.99%
1.583.15%16.85%
2.562.44%37.56%
3.540.20%59.80%
4.522.30%77.70%
5.510.78%89.22%
6.54.59%95.41%
7.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.14%44.86%
1.519.18%80.82%
2.54.77%95.23%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.10%8.90%
1.569.56%30.44%
2.543.52%56.48%
3.522.52%77.48%
4.59.82%90.18%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.49%22.51%
1.543.92%56.08%
2.518.89%81.11%
3.56.45%93.55%
4.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
3.99%
9.66%
11.68%
9.42%
5.70%
2.76%
1
3.20%
7.74%
9.37%
7.55%
4.57%
2.21%
2
1.28%
3.10%
3.75%
3.03%
1.83%
0.89%
3
0.34%
0.83%
1.00%
0.81%
0.49%
0.24%
Sampdoria
1-03.20%
2-01.28%
2-13.10%
3-00.34%
3-10.83%
3-21.00%
Draw
0-03.99%
1-17.74%
2-23.75%
3-30.81%
Fiorentina
0-19.66%
0-211.68%
1-29.37%
0-39.42%
1-37.55%
2-33.03%
0-45.70%
1-44.57%
2-41.83%
3-40.49%
0-52.76%
1-52.21%
2-50.89%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
22.51%
25.21%
14.12%
5.27%
1.48%
0.33%
1
8.36%
9.36%
5.24%
1.96%
0.55%
0.12%
2
1.55%
1.74%
0.97%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.19%
0.21%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sampdoria
1-08.36%
2-01.55%
2-11.74%
3-00.19%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-022.51%
1-19.36%
2-20.97%
Fiorentina
0-125.21%
0-214.12%
1-25.24%
0-35.27%
1-31.96%
2-30.36%
0-41.48%
1-40.55%
2-40.10%
0-50.33%
1-50.12%