Milan at Sassuolo

Updated

Milan

61.9%20.5%17.5%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 1.01
3Final Score 3

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Fiorentina+140
W 3-1 at Hellas Verona-160
W 0-1 vs Empoli-250
W 1-0 at Lazio+135
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+135
Sassuolo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Udinese+190
L 0-1 at Roma+675
W 0-1 vs Frosinone+137
L 0-1 at Hellas Verona+209
L 6-1 vs Napoli+333

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-151-113-115-114-126-114-113-106.1
Sassuolo+402+303+280+310+345+310+345+324.4
Draw+319+284+290+287+297+287+297+300.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-140--125-125-135-130-125-106.1
Sassuolo+360-+320+325+270+325+325+324.4
Draw+300-+287+275+255+295+295+300.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -127 to -135
Sassuolo ML moved from +358 to +345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -120 to -130
Sassuolo ML moved from +330 to +300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+103o3+102o3+101o2¾-119o3+101o2¾-119o3+110
Underu3-118u3-121u3-122u3-121u2¾+103u3-121u3-121u3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+100o3+100o3+110o3+105o3+100o3+110o3+110
Underu3-130u3-120u3-120u3-130u3-135u3-120u3-120u3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%
 
No44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.59%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 417.24%
Exactly 65.45%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.15%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.62%
Exactly 72.40%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 012.57%
Exactly 126.07%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.69%
Exactly 49.69%
Exactly 54.02%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 036.52%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.53%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.02%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 038.28%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 062.73%
Exactly 129.25%
Exactly 26.82%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals38.31%
Wins by 3+ goals19.49%
Wins by 4+ goals8.27%
Wins by 5+ goals2.97%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals6.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals18.81%
Wins by 3 goals11.23%
Wins by 4 goals5.30%
Wins by 5 goals2.06%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal11.46%
Wins by 2 goals4.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.41%4.59%
1.581.26%18.74%
2.559.47%40.53%
3.537.09%62.91%
4.519.85%80.15%
5.59.23%90.77%
6.53.78%96.22%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.43%12.57%
1.561.36%38.64%
2.534.33%65.67%
3.515.64%84.36%
4.55.95%94.05%
5.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.48%36.52%
1.526.69%73.31%
2.58.16%91.84%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.98%24.02%
1.541.73%58.27%
2.517.29%82.71%
3.55.68%94.32%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
4.59%
4.62%
2.33%
0.78%
0.20%
1
9.52%
9.59%
4.83%
1.62%
0.41%
2
9.87%
9.94%
5.01%
1.68%
0.42%
3
6.82%
6.87%
3.46%
1.16%
0.29%
4
3.54%
3.56%
1.79%
0.60%
0.15%
5
1.47%
1.48%
0.74%
0.25%
0.06%
Milan
1-09.52%
2-09.87%
2-19.94%
3-06.82%
3-16.87%
3-23.46%
4-03.54%
4-13.56%
4-21.79%
4-30.60%
5-01.47%
5-11.48%
5-20.74%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.59%
1-19.59%
2-25.01%
3-31.16%
4-40.15%
Sassuolo
0-14.62%
0-22.33%
1-24.83%
0-30.78%
1-31.62%
2-31.68%
0-40.20%
1-40.41%
2-40.42%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Sassuolo
Score0123
0
24.02%
11.20%
2.61%
0.41%
1
23.06%
10.75%
2.51%
0.39%
2
11.07%
5.16%
1.20%
0.19%
3
3.54%
1.65%
0.39%
0.06%
4
0.85%
0.40%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-023.06%
2-011.07%
2-15.16%
3-03.54%
3-11.65%
3-20.39%
4-00.85%
4-10.40%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-024.02%
1-110.75%
2-21.20%
Sassuolo
0-111.20%
0-22.61%
1-22.51%
0-30.41%
1-30.39%
2-30.19%