Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-115
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-141

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Genoa
Milan		18.0%
68.4%		13.6%
+700
-230
+575
-220
1
2		-0.39255-0.42414-0.38047
Fiorentina
Sassuolo		34.3%
39.4%		26.2%
+185
+165
+185
+160
1
3		-1.00986-0.99777-0.93067
Hellas Verona
Sampdoria		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+160
+188
+170
+170
1
3		-1.09207-1.04055-1.03767
Udinese
Crotone		48.1%
27.6%		24.3%
+105
+280
-115
+320
2
1		-0.74619-0.67523-0.73228
Sassuolo
Benevento		44.9%
31.3%		23.8%
+135
+230
+135
+215
1
0		-0.88114-0.89941-0.80153
Atalanta
Fiorentina		53.6%
25.9%		20.5%
-185
+540
-200
+525
3
2		-0.45465-0.45319-0.62390
Bologna
Roma		20.3%
63.6%		16.1%
+300
-108
+300
-110
0
1		-0.68661-0.69331-0.45301
Napoli
Sampdoria		55.0%
24.1%		21.0%
-165
+486
-150
+400
2
0		-0.49931-0.55961-0.59800
Lazio
Hellas Verona		49.9%
27.0%		23.1%
+112
+280
+110
+265
1
0		-0.77997-0.78946-0.69525
Genoa
Juventus		13.1%
73.1%		13.8%
+1411
-425
+1100
-385
1
3		-0.23997-0.28071-0.31316
Cagliari
Inter		13.8%
72.9%		13.3%
+1036
-335
+975
-330
0
1		-0.28175-0.31438-0.31614
Torino
Udinese		30.9%
44.5%		24.5%
+240
+134
+215
+135
1
0		-1.24977-1.19683-1.17377
Milan
Parma		64.5%
18.5%		17.0%
-135
+400
-145
+425
3
1		-0.58794-0.57235-0.43841
Crotone
Spezia		29.1%
47.8%		23.0%
+325
-115
+320
-120
2
3		-0.66188-0.65179-0.73796
Sassuolo
Inter		19.1%
65.0%		15.9%
+920
-325
+875
-335
1
2		-0.29998-0.30676-0.43084
Napoli
Juventus		26.6%
49.7%		23.7%
+305
-104
+285
-105
1
2		-0.70035-0.71756-0.69870
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.