Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cremonese
Lazio 		9.4%
74.2%		16.3%
+510
-161

0.71
2.37		3.08
o2½+102
u2½-114

Roma
Juventus 		23.2%
51.9%		25.0%
+300
+108

0.98
1.61		2.59
o2¼+108
u2¼-122

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atalanta
Empoli		55.1%
21.9%		23.0%
-199
+585
-210
+565
5
0		-0.43566-0.43827-0.59653
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona		46.7%
27.3%		26.0%
+110
+310
+100
+300
0
1		-1.42941-1.43368-1.29894
Napoli
Como		53.1%
22.9%		23.9%
+130
+265
+125
+260
1
2		-1.32558-1.31983-1.47329
Genoa
Inter		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+1065
-313
+1050
-350
0
1		-0.29471-0.29682-0.14371
Milan
Torino		44.6%
28.5%		26.8%
-110
+320
-110
+315
1
2		-1.46672-1.46115-1.25407
Lazio
Venezia		55.3%
21.1%		23.6%
-160
+480
-160
+445
0
0		-1.44219-1.44350-1.44316
Bologna
Parma		42.0%
31.1%		26.8%
-125
+393
-115
+365
0
2		-1.62009-1.56801-1.16642
Udinese
Lecce		36.3%
35.3%		28.4%
+168
+207
+160
+190
1
0		-1.01220-1.00622-1.01346
Inter
Juventus		46.2%
26.9%		26.9%
+108
+302
+110
+282
0
1		-1.42155-1.37607-1.31349
Roma
Parma		50.2%
25.0%		24.9%
+110
+292
+110
+275
1
0		-0.76703-0.78680-0.69011
Empoli
Udinese		20.8%
55.1%		24.0%
+352
-108
+350
-115
0
3		-0.68528-0.67566-0.59535
Lecce
Monza		36.0%
35.5%		28.4%
+177
+187
+177
+180
0
0		-1.15846-1.17131-1.25815
Como
Fiorentina		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+230
+142
+230
+130
2
0		-1.21756-1.24209-1.61094
Hellas Verona
Milan		8.4%
76.8%		14.8%
+810
-277
+810
-295
0
1		-0.33117-0.33804-0.26443
Napoli
Lazio		39.9%
33.2%		26.9%
+242
+143
+215
+160
2
2		-1.15757-1.15575-1.31360
Cagliari
Atalanta		8.2%
77.9%		13.9%
+550
-187
+540
-190
0
0		-1.50846-1.51063-1.97443
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83956 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83041 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43711
0.40245
0.39330

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.