Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo		26.5%
49.3%		24.2%
+290
-101
+293
+100
1
3		-0.71693-0.72865-0.70723
Inter
Cagliari		70.0%
12.0%		18.0%
-223
+678
-235
+625
2
0		-0.39162-0.39955-0.35667
Udinese
Salernitana		45.8%
27.6%		26.6%
+169
+186
+165
+175
1
1		-1.21804-1.23488-1.32497
Sassuolo
Napoli		8.8%
77.3%		13.9%
+809
-300
+800
-340
0
2		-0.31621-0.30788-0.25692
Genoa
Lazio		10.6%
73.2%		16.1%
+421
-120
+385
-118
1
0		-1.64501-1.60018-2.23999
Bologna
Juventus		7.4%
78.8%		13.7%
+428
-135
+430
-145
1
1		-1.37722-1.37773-1.98763
Roma
Hellas Verona		37.6%
35.7%		26.6%
-112
+404
-110
+400
1
2		-1.63056-1.61893-1.02932
Torino
Milan		8.3%
76.9%		14.7%
+449
-134
+400
-120
1
4		-0.57664-0.63605-0.26247
Empoli
Monza		17.2%
61.2%		21.6%
+310
-108
+310
-107
0
2		-0.68339-0.69850-0.49160
Milan
Bologna		61.8%
17.2%		21.0%
+105
+314
+100
+290
2
0		-0.72342-0.73364-0.48188
Cagliari
Torino		19.9%
57.0%		23.1%
+548
-162
+490
-160
0
0		-1.40866-1.40141-1.46625
Juventus
Udinese		49.2%
25.0%		25.8%
+107
+303
+101
+300
3
0		-0.75090-0.74314-0.70897
Lazio
Lecce		54.8%
22.6%		22.6%
+114
+287
+110
+276
1
2		-1.37630-1.37125-1.48771
Atalanta
Sassuolo		50.2%
26.7%		23.1%
+125
+267
+120
+230
2
0		-0.80029-0.83160-0.68892
Salernitana
Roma		8.4%
76.9%		14.7%
+670
-174
+652
-198
2
2		-1.41977-1.43263-1.91971
Monza
Inter		6.0%
81.7%		12.3%
+685
-230
+665
-255
0
2		-0.37755-0.37872-0.20230
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.