Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-117
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-140

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atalanta
Inter		18.4%
60.6%		21.0%
+485
-157
+460
-164
0
4		-0.51258-0.52467-0.50152
Napoli
Sassuolo		50.9%
25.4%		23.7%
-123
+367
-125
+333
6
1		-0.61367-0.62980-0.67539
Lazio
Fiorentina		28.1%
46.4%		25.6%
+270
+118
+261
+115
1
2		-0.80386-0.80616-0.76847
Torino
Roma		16.3%
62.7%		21.0%
+355
+100
+330
-102
2
3		-0.71842-0.72751-0.46619
Atalanta
Milan		28.4%
46.7%		25.0%
+214
+137
+200
+135
1
1		-1.28060-1.29638-1.38830
Inter
Lecce		73.9%
9.9%		16.2%
-193
+630
-210
+610
4
0		-0.44018-0.43905-0.30242
Napoli
Cagliari		62.9%
16.1%		21.0%
-125
+371
-129
+360
1
1		-1.37726-1.35806-1.55946
Frosinone
Juventus		7.5%
77.5%		15.0%
+1000
-305
+865
-320
2
3		-0.30313-0.31269-0.25472
Udinese
Genoa		20.6%
55.5%		23.9%
+247
+150
+240
+150
0
2		-0.93222-0.94887-0.58924
Monza
Salernitana		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+134
+240
+130
+234
2
0		-0.87798-0.87484-0.97098
Empoli
Sassuolo		19.8%
58.6%		21.6%
+245
+129
+239
+125
3
2		-1.26135-1.25804-1.62040
Hellas Verona
Bologna		18.0%
60.5%		21.5%
+580
-157
+550
-170
0
2		-0.50710-0.49860-0.50269
Lazio
Torino		34.5%
37.9%		27.5%
+198
+181
+200
+183
2
0		-1.12301-1.12396-1.06299
Milan
Monza		48.6%
25.6%		25.8%
-130
+435
-126
+390
2
4		-1.69925-1.62786-1.36156
Roma
Frosinone		52.1%
23.1%		24.8%
+105
+281
+103
+270
3
0		-0.73466-0.74423-0.65256
Cagliari
Udinese		17.7%
60.1%		22.2%
+348
-110
+340
-110
1
1		-1.31550-1.27848-1.50350
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.