Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monza
Sassuolo		21.1%
56.4%		22.5%
+238
+115
+220
+115
2
1		-1.24866-1.21345-1.55680
Empoli
Sampdoria		39.5%
33.7%		26.8%
+115
+276
+110
+255
1
1		-1.26323-1.27447-1.31561
Cremonese
Juventus		6.7%
79.4%		13.9%
+890
-263
+850
-300
0
2		-0.33813-0.33774-0.23128
Roma
Bologna		37.9%
35.7%		26.4%
+209
+162
+195
+165
0
0		-1.17860-1.14709-1.33086
Napoli
Monza		63.5%
15.8%		20.7%
+127
+225
+120
+285
0
2		-1.21204-1.35646-1.84827
Udinese
Fiorentina		22.4%
53.7%		23.9%
+372
-117
+310
-115
0
2		-0.63181-0.67712-0.62256
Torino
Hellas Verona		34.6%
38.0%		27.4%
+212
+166
+205
+155
1
0		-1.15671-1.16194-1.06175
Sassuolo
Inter		7.4%
79.9%		12.7%
+583
-205
+585
-235
2
4		-0.41968-0.40287-0.22394
Milan
Spezia		66.8%
14.0%		19.1%
-112
+374
-120
+345
0
2		-1.57600-1.54346-1.96633
Atalanta
Salernitana		61.0%
17.8%		21.1%
-139
+400
-165
+435
0
1		-1.62893-1.72637-1.72406
Lecce
Lazio		14.5%
67.1%		18.5%
+505
-137
+485
-150
2
2		-1.32186-1.31822-1.74057
Bologna
Sassuolo		26.5%
49.8%		23.7%
+190
+153
+190
+145
1
1		-1.29459-1.26983-1.44058
Sampdoria
Udinese		12.8%
68.9%		18.3%
+616
-197
+575
-200
0
2		-0.43068-0.45435-0.37190
Salernitana
Empoli		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+315
+124
+300
+120
1
2		-0.82269-0.83105-0.59911
Hellas Verona
Lecce		29.0%
45.6%		25.3%
+317
+117
+285
+115
1
0		-1.44783-1.39946-1.23681
Fiorentina
Napoli		12.3%
69.8%		17.9%
+355
-118
+350
-125
0
1		-0.63507-0.63471-0.35989
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.